Redburn cuts Cintas stock rating to Sell, sees 18% downside

Published 01/05/2025, 08:14
Redburn cuts Cintas stock rating to Sell, sees 18% downside

On Thursday, Redburn-Atlantic revised its stance on Cintas Corporation (NASDAQ:CTAS), downgrading the stock from Neutral to Sell, while maintaining a price target of $171.00. The firm expressed concern over the company’s valuation in light of the recent market re-rating, suggesting that Cintas’s consistent performance is currently overvalued in the stock market. This assessment aligns with InvestingPro data, which shows Cintas trading at a P/E ratio of 47.92x and receiving a "GREAT" financial health score, despite elevated valuation metrics across multiple measures.

The analyst from Redburn-Atlantic, Oliver Davies, noted Cintas’s history of delivering high-quality organic growth with attractive incremental margins, which has historically benefitted shareholders. The company maintains impressive gross profit margins of 49.92% and has achieved revenue growth of 7.79% over the last twelve months. However, Davies pointed out that the current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 44 times and a free cash flow (FCF) yield of 2.3% do not account for potential challenges ahead. These include a slowdown in employment growth, a normalization of market share gains, and stable pricing, which could impact the company’s financials. For deeper insights into Cintas’s valuation and growth prospects, InvestingPro subscribers have access to over 15 additional financial tips and comprehensive analysis.

Davies’s analysis indicates that if recent trends of slower employment continue, there could be a minor risk to market expectations that are not currently reflected in consensus estimates or the stock’s rating. Furthermore, the analyst suggested that even a mild recession scenario has not been factored into the consensus views or Cintas’s stock rating.

The maintained price target of $171.00 implies that there is an 18% downside potential for Cintas’s stock. This perspective by Redburn-Atlantic signals caution to investors, as the firm anticipates that the stock’s current valuation does not align with the potential economic headwinds on the horizon.

In other recent news, Cintas Corporation has reported a 7.9% organic revenue growth, according to RBC Capital, which maintains a Sector Perform rating and a $215 price target for the company. UBS has also raised its price target for Cintas to $240, maintaining a Buy rating, following the company’s strong fiscal third-quarter results and an increase in fiscal 2025 EPS guidance. BofA Securities has reinstated its coverage on Cintas with a Buy rating and a $250 price target, citing the company’s network effects, unique corporate culture, and sustained EPS growth as key factors. Cintas has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.39 per share, continuing its 41-year streak of annual dividend increases. Additionally, Cintas announced a CFO transition, with Scott Garula set to succeed Mike Hansen, who will retire as CFO on May 31, 2025, but remain as Assistant to the CEO. The company has also tightened its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance due to foreign exchange headwinds but maintains its organic revenue growth guidance at the upper end of 7.7%. Cintas is focusing on smaller strategic acquisitions and potential share buybacks after concluding considerations to acquire UniFirst (NYSE:UNF) Corporation. These developments highlight Cintas’ robust financial performance and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing shareholder value.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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