Rosenblatt cuts Sapiens stock target to $625, maintains buy rating

Published 29/05/2025, 12:44
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On Wednesday, Rosenblatt Securities adjusted its outlook on Sapiens International Corp. NV (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SPNS), lowering the price target to $625 from the previous $660 while still maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment comes in the wake of a significant drop in EDA stocks, which fell approximately 10% following news of potential U.S. government restrictions on sales of design tools to China. According to InvestingPro data, Sapiens, currently valued at $1.57 billion, trades at a P/E ratio of 21.8x and appears slightly undervalued based on its Fair Value analysis. The company maintains a strong financial position, with more cash than debt on its balance sheet.

The firm’s analyst noted that despite the market’s reaction and the concerns over sales in China, Synopsys™, a leading player in the EDA market, reported Q2 results that were in line with expectations. The company showed a year-over-year growth of 10.3% to $1,604 million and confirmed that it is keeping its growth forecast for the fiscal year 2025. For comparison, InvestingPro analysis shows Sapiens achieved a 3.84% revenue growth in the last twelve months, with analysts forecasting 6% growth for fiscal year 2025. Get access to 6 more exclusive ProTips and comprehensive analysis with an InvestingPro subscription. Synopsys™ management, on a subsequent earnings call, mentioned that they had not yet been informed of any additional restrictions to their business activities in China.

Despite Synopsys™’s reassurance about its overall forecast, the company did acknowledge a considerable decline in demand from China, which saw a 29% decrease year-over-year in Q2. The company now anticipates that its business in China will contract over the current year. However, it expects to maintain its fiscal year 2025 outlook due to strong performance in other regions and robust growth in AI and High-Performance Computing (HPC) end-markets.

The demand in the second quarter continued to be fueled by chip interconnect IP, AI-specific and chiplet designs, the new hardware cycle, core EDA subscription renewals, and Synopsys™’s novel AI-driven optimization products. Notably, upfront revenue, which is primarily driven by IP and hardware, grew around 29% year-over-year, surpassing expectations.

Following the post-quarter analysis, Rosenblatt has made slight revisions to its fiscal year 2025 forecast. The firm adopts a more conservative stance regarding growth expectations for fiscal year 2026 due to the observed weakness in the Chinese market. Despite the reduced price target and the potential volatility in the near term because of the issues related to China, Rosenblatt continues to recommend Sapiens stock as a worthwhile purchase for investors. This aligns with the company’s strong fundamentals, including a healthy 44.3% gross profit margin and an impressive track record of maintaining dividend payments for 11 consecutive years, as revealed by InvestingPro data.

In other recent news, Sapiens International Corporation has announced a definitive agreement to acquire AdvantageGo, a commercial insurance software provider. This acquisition, valued at 43 million British pounds and structured as a cash deal, is expected to enhance Sapiens’ property and casualty insurance platform, particularly in underwriting workbench capabilities for the London and global commercial markets. AdvantageGo reported revenues of 15 million British pounds for the full year 2024, with approximately half derived from recurring sources. Despite a loss of 9 million British pounds due to strategic investments, AdvantageGo is projected to grow at a double-digit rate in 2026, with profitability expected to improve and become accretive to Sapiens’ profit starting in 2027. This move aligns with Sapiens’ strategy to expand its presence in the London market and support the reinsurance sector. Martin Higgins from Datos Insights noted the significance of integrating sophisticated decision support tools into Sapiens’ core system platform. Sapiens President and CEO Roni Al-Dor emphasized the company’s commitment to investing in AdvantageGo’s products to ensure innovation and value for their customer base.

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