Shift4 Payments stock target cut to $110 at BTIG, retains Buy

Published 10/04/2025, 11:30
Shift4 Payments stock target cut to $110 at BTIG, retains Buy

On Thursday, BTIG analyst Hal Goetsch adjusted the price target for Shift4 Payments (NYSE:FOUR) to $110, a decrease from the previous target of $135, while maintaining a Buy rating on the company's shares. Currently trading at $83.36, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is undervalued, with an RSI indicating oversold territory. The revision reflects concerns about consumer spending, despite the firm's confidence in the company's potential to sustain growth.

Shift4 Payments, which operates primarily within consumer-driven sectors such as restaurants, hotels, and stadiums, has seen its stock price decline in two distinct phases over the recent months. The stock has fallen nearly 20% year-to-date, with a 6-month decline of 10.5%, though it maintains a positive 24% return over the past year. Initially, the market reacted to a fiscal year 2025 outlook that did not meet high investor expectations, although it did forecast a 20% organic growth. This was coupled with the announcement of a $2.5 billion acquisition. Following this, the stock experienced further pressure due to growing concerns over consumer spending and the potential for a recession, exacerbated by ongoing tariff negotiations.

Despite these challenges, BTIG's analysis suggests that Shift4 Payments is on track to achieve double-digit growth by FY25, even under most bear-case scenarios for consumer spending. The company's strong financial health, as evidenced by its "GOOD" rating from InvestingPro, along with impressive revenue growth of nearly 30% in the last twelve months, supports this outlook. Goetsch believes that the company's backlog of new business wins and cross-selling initiatives should support this growth trajectory.

The analyst's statement emphasized that while Shift4's key markets are highly sensitive to shifts in consumer spending patterns, the company's current plans and strategies are expected to mitigate potential negative impacts. The lowered price target to $110 acknowledges the current overhang affecting consumer spending, which has in turn influenced the stock's valuation multiple.

In summary, while acknowledging the headwinds facing consumer discretionary sectors, BTIG continues to recommend Shift4 Payments as a Buy, albeit with a revised price target that takes into account the current economic climate and its effects on consumer behavior.

In other recent news, Shift4 Payments has made headlines with several key developments. RBC Capital Markets has maintained an Outperform rating on the company, setting a price target of $154.00. This comes on the heels of Shift4 Payments' strategic acquisition of Global Blue, which is expected to enhance growth in the retail sector and expand the company's presence in the Asia-Pacific region. The acquisition is projected to contribute significantly to the company's adjusted EBITDA in the coming years. Meanwhile, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James adjusted its financial outlook for Shift4 Payments, lowering the price target from $140.00 to $130.00, while maintaining a Strong Buy rating. The revision was influenced by updated revenue and EBITDA projections for the first quarter of 2025. DA Davidson also reiterated a Buy rating with a $124.00 price target, following news of potential management changes, as CEO Jared Isaacman may depart for a role at NASA. Additionally, rumors have surfaced about Shift4 considering the acquisition of Smartpay, a New Zealand-based company, which could further Shift4's strategic expansion. These recent developments highlight the dynamic landscape for Shift4 Payments as it navigates growth opportunities and leadership transitions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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