Stephens raises Hilltop Holdings target to $34, keeps Equal Weight

Published 30/04/2025, 13:16
Stephens raises Hilltop Holdings target to $34, keeps Equal Weight

Wednesday, Stephens analysts increased the price target on Hilltop Holdings (NYSE:HTH) stock to $34.00, up from the previous target of $33.00, while maintaining an Equal Weight rating. Currently trading at $29.29 with a P/E ratio of 14.9x and price-to-book of 0.85x, the stock appears undervalued according to InvestingPro analysis. The adjustment follows Hilltop Holdings’ first quarter 2025 financial results, which showcased positive trends in net interest income (NII) and net interest margin (NIM).

The company’s quarterly performance indicated that while fees, which constitute 63% of its revenue, were consistent with forecasts, there has been a noticeable improvement in NII. With a market capitalization of $1.88 billion and a solid dividend yield of 2.46%, Hilltop Holdings has maintained dividend payments for 10 consecutive years. Stephens analysts have held their 2025 revenue outlook steady as the NII gains are balanced by weaker mortgage fees. However, they have revised the earnings per share (EPS) estimates upward by 12% for 2025 and 14% for 2026 due to a more favorable view of non-variable operating expenses and the increased NII.Discover more insights about HTH and 1,400+ other stocks with comprehensive Pro Research Reports available on InvestingPro.

In the short term, analysts anticipate Hilltop Holdings to engage in more capital deployment activities, including debt redemption and an increase in stock repurchase. The latter is particularly notable as the current valuation is approximately 1x tangible book value (TBV), with repurchase levels around 8% below the average repurchase price of $31.80 in the first quarter of 2025.

Analysts also noted that Hilltop Holdings is well-positioned to benefit from lower interest rates, given the structure of its balance sheet and the composition of its fee income segments. The new price target of $34.00 is based on 18 times the projected EPS for 2026 and 1.1 times the 12-month forecast for TBV per share. Despite the positive outlook and increased price target, the firm’s rating remains at Equal Weight.

In other recent news, Hilltop Holdings Inc . reported strong first-quarter 2025 earnings, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.65, significantly surpassing the analyst forecast of $0.31. The company’s revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $318.46 million compared to the anticipated $290.55 million. Despite these positive financial results, the company faced challenges in its mortgage division, leading to a reduction in full-year production guidance. Additionally, Hilltop Holdings announced changes to its board of directors, with Jeremy B. Ford appointed as the new Chairman of the Board and Tracy Bolt as lead independent director. The board size was also reduced from fifteen to fourteen members. Furthermore, Hilltop Holdings and Martin B. Winges agreed to extend Winges’ employment contract until February 29, 2028, with modifications to the incentive bonus structure. In the broader market context, Hilltop Holdings maintains a strong capital position with a Common Equity Tier One capital ratio of 21%. The company also benefited from a $23.6 million gain from the sale of Mosier Energy Solutions and a $5 million insurance recovery during the quarter. Despite these developments, Hilltop’s stock experienced a minor decline in after-hours trading.

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