Stifel cuts Adobe stock price target to $525 from $567

Published 13/03/2025, 13:32
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On Thursday, Stifel analysts adjusted their outlook on Adobe stock (NASDAQ:ADBE), reducing the price target to $525 from the previous $567, while maintaining a Buy rating. According to InvestingPro analysis, Adobe currently appears undervalued, with the stock trading at $438.60 and showing strong fundamentals including an impressive 89% gross profit margin. The firm’s analyst, Parker Lane, provided an overview of Adobe’s recent performance, noting that the results were largely positive. Adobe’s net-new Digital Media Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) aligned with expectations, despite a muted outlook. The company, now valued at $190.75 billion, demonstrated solid performance with 10.8% revenue growth over the last twelve months. Additionally, the company’s bookings and profitability metrics surpassed expectations, and the full-year guidance was reaffirmed.

Lane highlighted Adobe’s incremental disclosures around artificial intelligence (AI) as a significant point of discussion. These disclosures included an AI ARR figure of $125 million, which is anticipated to double by the end of the year. Moreover, segmented results indicated that the non-professional segment, which is a focus of competitive concerns, is growing faster than the company average, at a rate of 15%. InvestingPro subscribers can access 12+ additional exclusive insights about Adobe’s growth trajectory and competitive position.

The analyst views these disclosures as an initial step towards a more comprehensive discussion on AI, which is expected to be a focal point at Adobe’s Summit Investor Day next week. According to Lane, these recent announcements are unlikely to significantly alter the company’s narrative in the days leading up to the Summit.

Adobe’s Summit Investor Day is anticipated to offer a platform for deeper engagement on the topic of AI and its role in the company’s strategy. The event will provide an opportunity for Adobe to address current debates and potentially share further insights into their AI-driven initiatives.

As investors and analysts await the Summit Investor Day, Adobe’s recent performance and strategic disclosures suggest a continued commitment to growth and innovation, particularly within the realm of AI. The market will be watching closely for any new developments that may emerge from the upcoming discussions.

In other recent news, Adobe’s first-quarter financial results for fiscal year 2025 have garnered attention from multiple analyst firms. The company reported total revenue of $5.71 billion, surpassing Wall Street’s projections of $5.66 billion, and reaffirmed its fiscal year guidance. Despite this, several firms, including Oppenheimer, Bernstein, Evercore ISI, DA Davidson, and Mizuho (NYSE:MFG), have revised their price targets for Adobe, citing various reasons such as group multiple compression and competitive pressures in the AI landscape.

Oppenheimer maintained an Outperform rating but lowered its price target to $530, highlighting a decline in net-new Digital Media ARR despite strong cash flow. Similarly, Bernstein cut its target to $525, noting Adobe’s AI initiatives have contributed $125 million in ARR, with expectations to double by year-end. Evercore ISI adjusted its target to $550, emphasizing the need for a clearer investment thesis to attract investors.

DA Davidson reduced its target to $600, attributing the change to macroeconomic conditions but maintaining confidence in Adobe’s business diversity and enterprise performance. Mizuho lowered its target to $575, acknowledging Adobe’s growth in Digital Media ARR and the potential of its Generative AI innovations, while also noting changes in reporting practices. These developments reflect the mixed sentiment among analysts regarding Adobe’s future performance and strategic direction.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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