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On Friday, Stifel analysts adjusted their outlook on Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:FND), reducing the price target to $92 from $110, while reaffirming their Buy rating on the company’s shares. The adjustment follows the release of first-quarter earnings for 2025, which revealed earnings per share (EPS) that exceeded expectations, attributed to a robust gross margin performance, with revenues matching forecasts.
Floor & Decor’s guidance for comparable revenue in fiscal year 2025 was revised downward by 200 basis points, reflecting increased uncertainty. However, the company’s quarter-to-date comparable sales showed a 1.1% increase, supporting the new guidance. The improved outlook for gross margins and more stringent expense control led to a 3% decrease in the company’s EBITDA guidance at the midpoint.
Despite the reduced guidance, Stifel’s positive stance on Floor & Decor is partly based on a "maximalist view," which anticipates minimal disruption from the upcoming Liberation Day. Stifel believes that Floor & Decor’s significant scale, diversified supply chain, and capital strength enable it to sustain its margin rate and maintain a competitive pricing advantage over independent competitors. This, according to Stifel, reinforces Floor & Decor’s strong market position, which they consider to be currently undervalued.
The analysts concluded their commentary by expressing confidence in the company’s prospects, anticipating that Floor & Decor shares will trade higher on Friday following the announcement and the company’s solid performance indicators.
In other recent news, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, meeting analyst expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.45 and revenue of $1.161 billion, marking a 5.8% increase year-over-year. Despite economic challenges, the company maintained a gross margin of 43.8%, a 100 basis point improvement. In light of recent developments, Telsey Advisory Group adjusted its outlook on Floor & Decor, lowering the 12-month price target from $115 to $100, but maintained an Outperform rating. The firm cited the company’s lowered guidance and market volatility as reasons for the adjustment. Floor & Decor’s strategic expansion plans remain intact, with a long-term goal of 500 stores, up from the current 254 locations. The company has also been diversifying its sourcing strategy to mitigate the impact of tariffs, reducing its dependence on Chinese products. Looking ahead, Floor & Decor anticipates full-year 2025 sales between $4.66 billion and $4.80 billion, with EPS guidance set between $1.70 and $2.00.
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