Stifel cuts JBHT stock price target to $150, maintains hold

Published 16/04/2025, 11:04
Stifel cuts JBHT stock price target to $150, maintains hold

On Wednesday, Stifel analysts adjusted their outlook on J.B. Hunt Transport Services shares, reducing the price target from $158.00 to $150.00, while sustaining a Hold rating on the stock. Currently trading at $135.11, near its 52-week low of $127.05, the $13.51 billion market cap company reported first-quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $1.17. This performance was within the conservative guidance range provided in the previous quarter’s call and exceeded both Stifel’s forecast and the consensus estimate of $1.12 and $1.15, respectively. According to InvestingPro, 15 analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward for the upcoming period.

Despite the better-than-expected earnings, Stifel noted that J.B. Hunt’s cautious stance from the previous quarter continues, reflecting the analysts’ understanding of the current uneven fundamental freight environment anticipated for the latter half of the year. The analysts observed that while intermodal volumes were stronger than anticipated in the first quarter, there is a belief that some demand may have been pulled forward, and inbound port volumes could be at risk. This caution appears warranted, as InvestingPro data shows revenue declined by 5.79% over the last twelve months, though the company maintains a solid financial foundation with moderate debt levels.

The report also highlighted several areas of concern for J.B. Hunt, including a more significant contraction in its Dedicated fleet than anticipated, ongoing losses in its Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS) segment, low pricing and softening demand in its Truck (JBT) business, and persistently sluggish volume in Final Mile Services.

The analysts remarked on the significant reduction in J.B. Hunt’s valuation but pointed to the considerable uncertainty surrounding demand and the potential for further downside risks to the company’s business model. As a result, Stifel prefers to maintain a cautious stance, hence the decision to remain on the sidelines and adjust the target price to $150 from the previous $158.

In other recent news, J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.17, aligning with analyst expectations. The company’s revenue slightly surpassed forecasts, reaching $2.92 billion compared to the anticipated $2.91 billion. Despite these results, J.B. Hunt experienced a decline in operating income by 8% due to inflationary pressures, and the company’s stock faced a significant drop in aftermarket trading. The company also reported record intermodal volumes, with an 8% year-over-year increase, showcasing growth in its Eastern network and Mexico business. Additionally, J.B. Hunt has revised its capital expenditure guidance to a range of $500-700 million, down from the previous $700-900 million, as part of a cautious approach amid uncertain market conditions. The company remains focused on margin repair and cost management, with plans to return to net fleet growth in 2025. In response to the challenging environment, J.B. Hunt managed to reduce people costs by over $200 million through strategic headcount attrition. These developments reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to navigate operational challenges and broader market conditions.

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