Stifel cuts Semtech stock price target to $35, maintains buy rating

Published 17/04/2025, 14:26
Stifel cuts Semtech stock price target to $35, maintains buy rating

On Thursday, Stifel analysts adjusted their outlook on Semtech Corp . (NASDAQ:SMTC) shares, reducing the price target from $54.00 to $35.00 but continuing to endorse the stock with a Buy rating. The adjustment reflects a reassessment of the company’s financial prospects in light of current market conditions. Currently trading at $25.99, near its 52-week low of $24.71, InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is trading below its Fair Value, with 9 analysts recently revising their earnings expectations upward.

The analysts have expressed confidence in Semtech’s ability to navigate through the ongoing industry downcycle, anticipating a significant transformation in the company’s profitability by the calendar year 2025. They highlighted the company’s strategic options, including the potential sale of lower-margin businesses, which could streamline operations and enhance overall financial performance. With a healthy current ratio of 2.07 and gross margins of 51.21%, the company maintains strong operational fundamentals. InvestingPro subscribers can access 12 additional key insights about Semtech’s financial health and growth prospects.

Semtech’s new Internet of Things (IoT) business segment is particularly noted for its potential long-term catalysts. Stifel analysts believe that an increased focus on software and services revenues within this segment could strengthen Semtech’s position in low-power, long-range connectivity solutions, expanding the reach of its LoRa technology. The company’s revenue of $909.29M demonstrates its significant market presence, with analysts expecting continued growth.

The firm’s analysis suggests that despite the current challenges, Semtech is poised for a material shift in its business model, with the possibility of emerging as a more profitable entity in the coming years. The company’s strategic maneuvers and the anticipated growth of its IoT business are central to this optimistic outlook.

Semtech’s stock price target has been adjusted to reflect the near-term uncertainties and market dynamics, but the firm’s Buy rating underscores an expectation of recovery and growth as the company executes its strategic initiatives. The revised price target of $35.00 represents Stifel’s current valuation estimate for Semtech’s shares, taking into account both the risks and opportunities ahead.

In other recent news, Semtech Corporation has been the focus of several analyst reports and industry developments. UBS analysts recently adjusted their price target for Semtech to $60, citing a slight decrease in Signal Integrity revenue but noting strong performance in the Internet of Things (IoT) sector. Similarly, Stifel analysts have revised their 12-month price target to $54, highlighting Semtech’s fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 results, which showed a 6% revenue increase quarter-over-quarter and earnings per share that exceeded expectations. Despite this, the company’s outlook for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 anticipates a slight revenue decrease.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) initiated coverage on Semtech with an Equalweight rating and a $30 price target, pointing out challenges related to its acquisition of Sierra Wireless (NASDAQ:SWIR) and broader economic headwinds. However, the firm also noted that Semtech’s potential in the data center market might be undervalued. In a collaborative effort, Semtech and Amphenol Corporation (NYSE:APH) announced the release of a 1.6T OSFP Active Copper Cable, targeting the AI/ML and data center markets. This product promises ultra-low power consumption and low latency, catering to the growing demand for high-bandwidth interconnect solutions. These recent developments reflect the dynamic environment in which Semtech operates, with a mix of challenges and opportunities shaping its market position.

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