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On Friday, Stifel analysts maintained their Buy rating and $18.00 price target for Gambling.com Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: GAMB) shares, which currently trades at $13.33. According to InvestingPro data, the company has demonstrated impressive financial health with a "GREAT" overall score and remarkable gross profit margins of 94%. Following the company’s fourth-quarter performance, which aligned with the expectations set in their February 19 pre-release, analysts found several key points noteworthy. The successful integration of OddsJam contributed to the company’s high-margin subscription revenue and presents a medium-term distribution opportunity through Optic Odds. Additionally, the potential expansion into prediction markets could significantly increase the total addressable market if approved by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Gambling.com’s management has been actively repurchasing shares, a move seen as a response to short-term market dislocations. Despite the broader challenges faced by the gambling affiliate sector, analysts believe that Gambling.com’s stability is indicative of a superior geographic and product mix, proprietary technology, and operational efficiency. The company’s disciplined approach to mergers and acquisitions was also noted as a strength.
The current market valuation of Gambling.com is thought to underestimate the company’s earnings potential, offering a unique opportunity within a difficult industry landscape. This view is supported by InvestingPro analysis, which indicates the stock is currently undervalued. With a P/E ratio of 14.27x and strong revenue growth of 17%, the company shows promising fundamentals. For deeper insights into Gambling.com’s valuation and 8 additional ProTips, check out the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers. Stifel anticipates a positive adjustment to earnings forecasts leading into the year 2025, driven by normalizing North American market expansion comparisons, the potential market entry in Missouri, and the initial synergies from OddsJam.
Stifel’s analysis also included adjustments to their financial model for Gambling.com, keeping the adjusted EBITDA forecasts for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026 unchanged. The company’s strong financial position is reflected in its EBITDA of $42 million and impressive 51.48% return over the past year. The price target for Gambling.com remains at $18.00, reaffirming the firm’s confidence in the company’s performance and strategy. Discover more detailed financial metrics and expert analysis in the full Pro Research Report on InvestingPro.
In other recent news, Gambling.com Group reported impressive fourth-quarter earnings and revenue figures that exceeded analyst expectations. The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.35, surpassing the analyst estimate of $0.24, and achieved revenue of $35.31 million, which was above the consensus forecast of $34.4 million. This marks a 9% year-over-year increase in revenue. Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon raised the price target for Gambling.com to $19, maintaining an Outperform rating, citing strong momentum and a robust growth outlook.
The company reconfirmed its 2025 revenue guidance, projecting between $170 million and $174 million, aligning with analyst projections and suggesting a 35% year-over-year growth. Gambling.com also reported a 39% year-over-year rise in adjusted EBITDA to $14.7 million for the fourth quarter, with a margin improvement to 42%. The acquisition of Odds Holdings, completed on January 1, is expected to contribute $14.5 million in incremental adjusted EBITDA for the year. Management anticipates continued growth fueled by a resurgence in North American markets and gains in global market share.
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