Stifel maintains Hold on Target Hospitality stock, $7.50 target

Published 20/05/2025, 13:56
Stifel maintains Hold on Target Hospitality stock, $7.50 target

On Tuesday, Stifel analysts reiterated their Hold rating on Target (NYSE:TGT) Hospitality (NASDAQ:TH) with a steady price target of $7.50, slightly below the analyst high target of $10. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at $7.46, with an overall Financial Health score rated as "GREAT." The decision follows Target Hospitality’s release of its first-quarter 2025 results, which surpassed expectations. Despite the positive performance, Stifel chose not to adjust their stance on the stock, keeping both the rating and the price target unchanged.

Target Hospitality reported that it would maintain its revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance for the year 2025, projecting between $265 million and $285 million in revenue, and adjusted EBITDA of $47 million to $57 million. These figures align with the company’s previously stated financial goals for the year, though InvestingPro data indicates a projected 29% revenue decline for 2025, with the company maintaining a solid current ratio of 1.97.

The company’s optimistic outlook for 2025 is attributed to several factors. A strong demand in the Hospitality for Shale (HFS) sector, which primarily serves oil and gas clients, is a significant contributor. Additionally, the five-year contract with South Dilley and the agreement with Lithium Americas (NYSE:LAC) are expected to bolster Target Hospitality’s performance.

Following the analysis of the quarterly results and the company’s guidance, Stifel analysts made minor adjustments to their own estimates. However, they have decided to maintain the current Hold rating, indicating that they do not see enough catalysts for a rating change at this time.

Target Hospitality’s shares will continue to be monitored by Stifel as the market responds to the company’s financial performance and strategic contracts. The firm’s analysis suggests a cautious approach to the stock, with the $7.50 price target reflecting this sentiment.

In other recent news, Target Hospitality reported a first-quarter loss for 2025, with revenue experiencing a year-over-year decline due to contract terminations in its government segment. The company posted a net loss of $6.5 million, or $0.07 per share, which was wider than analysts’ estimates of a $0.01 per share loss. Revenue fell 34.5% year-over-year to $69.9 million, slightly below the consensus estimate of $70 million. Despite the shortfall, Target Hospitality reaffirmed its full-year 2025 revenue guidance, projecting between $265 million and $285 million, aligning with analyst expectations. The company emphasized progress on new contracts, including a multi-year $140 million Workforce Hub Contract and a 5-year $246 million contract in Dilley, Texas. These contracts aim to support U.S. government initiatives and reactivate assets. President and CEO Brad Archer highlighted the company’s strong business fundamentals and momentum in executing recent contract wins.

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