Stifel maintains Twilio stock with $110 target after solid quarter

Published 02/05/2025, 16:50
Stifel maintains Twilio stock with $110 target after solid quarter

On Friday, Stifel analysts maintained their Hold rating on Twilio shares (NYSE:TWLO) with a steady price target of $110.00. The company has demonstrated a notable performance with its third consecutive quarter of top-line acceleration and its second quarter of double-digit growth, achieving a 7.3% year-over-year revenue increase to $4.46 billion. According to InvestingPro analysis, Twilio appears slightly undervalued at current levels, with analysts setting price targets ranging from $75 to $175. Twilio’s management has expressed confidence, indicating no signs of a slowdown in their business despite broader economic concerns.

Twilio’s leadership under CEO Khozema Shipchandler, since the 4Q23 earnings call, has been marked by increased rigor, discipline, and focus. This approach has resulted in another quarter of robust profitability. The company reported operating margins that expanded by 300 basis points year-over-year, maintaining a healthy gross profit margin of 51.1% and a strong current ratio of 4.2. InvestingPro data reveals that Twilio holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, demonstrating prudent financial management even in the face of cost of goods sold (COGS) headwinds caused by channel-mix issues.

Despite the positive momentum and absence of macroeconomic deterioration through April, Twilio has taken a cautious stance in its financial outlook. The company has decided not to extend the full benefit of its first-quarter performance to its full-year projections. This conservative approach aligns with Twilio’s commitment to maintaining financial discipline, which has contributed to its impressive 59.1% stock return over the past year.

Twilio’s strategy also involves positioning itself to benefit from emergent technologies such as agentic AI. While the specific impact of these technologies on Twilio’s top-line remains uncertain at this stage, InvestingPro analysts project the company will return to profitability this year, with an EPS forecast of $4.44 for FY2025. The company’s focus on innovation and market adaptation, combined with its strong financial health score, could potentially strengthen its market position in the future. Get access to 12 additional exclusive InvestingPro Tips and comprehensive analysis through the Pro Research Report, available with an InvestingPro subscription.

In other recent news, Twilio reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, surpassing earnings and revenue forecasts. The company achieved an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.14, exceeding the forecasted $0.96, and reported revenue of $1.17 billion compared to the expected $1.14 billion. This marks Twilio’s third consecutive quarter of accelerating revenue growth, with a 12% year-over-year increase. Following these results, Goldman Sachs raised Twilio’s stock price target from $130.00 to $145.00, maintaining a Buy rating, while Scotiabank (TSX:BNS) increased its target from $130.00 to $135.00, reiterating a Sector Outperform rating.

The company’s performance was bolstered by a significant improvement in free cash flow and a raised guidance for the year. Twilio’s advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and strategic partnerships have been highlighted as key growth drivers. The firm has also introduced new AI-driven products and announced a share repurchase program, further enhancing its market position. Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Scotiabank have expressed confidence in Twilio’s strategic direction and growth potential, citing robust performance across various strategic areas, including ISV partnerships and international expansion.

Despite some concerns over gross margins, which currently stand at 51%, analysts believe Twilio’s strategic decisions in balancing international revenue and margin trade-offs are prudent. The company’s focus on innovation and cost discipline contributed to a record non-GAAP income from operations of $213 million, up 34% from the previous year. With Twilio’s ongoing momentum in AI and voice technologies, analysts anticipate sustained growth in the medium term.

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