Stifel raises Lumentum stock price target following revenue outlook

Published 05/06/2025, 11:06
Stifel raises Lumentum stock price target following revenue outlook

On Thursday, Stifel analysts raised the price target for Lumentum Holdings Inc . (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:LITE) stock to $100 from $85, while maintaining a Buy rating. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets now range from $70 to $110, with 15 analysts recently revising their earnings estimates upward. The adjustment follows Lumentum’s updated guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, which was released on Wednesday afternoon.

Lumentum has increased its revenue forecast to $470 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 14.5% and adjusted earnings per share of $0.83. While InvestingPro data shows the company wasn’t profitable over the last twelve months, analysts expect a return to profitability this fiscal year. These updates were shared at an investor conference held earlier on Thursday, where management attributed the positive outlook to a broad-based strength across the company’s core businesses.

The company has also accelerated its long-term revenue targets. Lumentum now expects to achieve a $500 million revenue goal by the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which is a quarter earlier than previously anticipated. Additionally, the company aims to reach a $600 million revenue target by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 or the first quarter of fiscal 2027. The stock has shown remarkable strength with a 76.83% return over the past year, though InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock may be currently overbought.

The revised guidance suggests faster-than-expected product rollouts, driven by improved execution and a focus on core projects. Lumentum’s management also noted an acceleration in compute infrastructure developments, which are contributing positively as the company continues to secure content within the emerging AI ecosystem. For deeper insights into Lumentum’s financial health and growth prospects, including 8 additional ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics, visit InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Lumentum has updated its revenue guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, now forecasting revenues between $465 million and $475 million, an increase from the previous range of $440 million to $470 million. The company also anticipates reaching a $500 million revenue target one quarter earlier than expected, aiming for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026. Stifel analysts have maintained a Buy rating with an $85 price target, noting Lumentum’s strong fiscal third-quarter results, which surpassed the company’s guidance in both revenue and adjusted earnings per share.

Rosenblatt analysts have raised their price target for Lumentum to $105 from $94, maintaining a Buy rating, citing improved margins in the 800G transceiver segment. Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James analysts have increased their price target to $90 from $80, maintaining a Strong Buy rating, highlighting growth driven by demand in artificial intelligence applications. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) has adjusted its price target to $76 from $70, keeping an Equalweight rating, following Lumentum’s positive revision of its fiscal fourth-quarter expectations. UBS analysts maintain a Neutral rating with a $78 price target, acknowledging the company’s updated guidance and revenue expectations.

These developments reflect a positive outlook from analysts regarding Lumentum’s financial performance and growth potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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