Stifel reiterates buy rating on Dynatrace stock amid consumption model shift

Published 16/06/2025, 13:26
Stifel reiterates buy rating on Dynatrace stock amid consumption model shift

Stifel maintained its buy rating and $62.00 price target on Dynatrace Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:DT) following the company’s quarter-end check-in last week. The software intelligence firm, currently valued at $15.9 billion, provided updates on recent conference highlights and market conditions. According to InvestingPro data, 23 analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period, with price targets ranging from $55 to $70.

Dynatrace management indicated they have not yet experienced macroeconomic impacts, though their guidance incorporates potential headwinds from budget scrutiny and extended sales cycles. The company, which maintains impressive gross profit margins of 82% and achieved 19% revenue growth in the last twelve months, also addressed its fiscal year 2026 assumptions in light of emerging On-Demand-Consumption (ODC) dynamics.

The ODC model is expected to affect Net New Annual Recurring Revenue (NNARR) growth, according to Stifel’s analysis. Management has factored additional caution into projections due to uncertainties surrounding this consumption-based approach.

Despite these challenges, Stifel sees "healthy upside opportunities in FY26" for Dynatrace. The firm cites potential outperformance of management’s conservative macroeconomic assumptions, noting recent software earnings reports have shown resilience. InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains a "GREAT" financial health score, with additional insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report, which covers what really matters for 1,400+ top stocks.

Sustained adoption of the Dynatrace Platform Services (DPS) and maturing go-to-market strategies are additional factors supporting Stifel’s optimistic outlook for the software intelligence company, which currently holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet.

In other recent news, Dynatrace Inc. reported robust fourth-quarter results, surpassing consensus estimates in key financial metrics. The company saw a 1% increase in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and a 3% rise in Subscription Revenue, which exceeded expectations. Goldman Sachs responded by raising its price target for Dynatrace to $64, highlighting the importance of Subscription Revenue and the company’s evolving go-to-market strategy. BMO Capital Markets also adjusted its price target to $63, maintaining an Outperform rating due to the company’s strong performance and promising FY26 ARR guidance. Jefferies increased its price target to $65, citing Dynatrace’s solid fundamentals and potential for revenue growth through fiscal year 2026. JPMorgan echoed this sentiment, lifting its price target to $65 and emphasizing the company’s successful large deal execution and increased platform usage. Truist Securities maintained a Buy rating with a $70 price target, noting the attractiveness of Dynatrace’s stock based on its financial metrics and platform strategy. These developments reflect a positive outlook from multiple analyst firms, suggesting confidence in Dynatrace’s growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

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