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Investing.com - Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) raised its price target on Strategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) to $586.00 from $563.00 on Monday, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. Currently trading at $395.13, MSTR shows significant potential according to analyst consensus, with targets ranging from $175 to $705. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is currently overvalued based on its proprietary Fair Value model.
The price target increase follows Strategy’s continued outperformance relative to Bitcoin this year, with MSTR shares actually up 36.43% year-to-date compared to Bitcoin’s 27% gain. The stock has delivered an impressive 191.89% return over the past year, though investors should note its high volatility with a beta of 3.78.
Mizuho noted that Strategy has raised its Bitcoin yield guidance for 2025 from 25% to 30% and increased its Bitcoin gain guidance from $15 billion to $20 billion.
The firm explained that the Bitcoin gain metric measures the annual value generation of Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury operations, specifically the excess Bitcoin it accumulates through its mNAV being greater than 1.
The updated price target reflects Strategy’s second-quarter 2025 results, new guidance, additional capital markets activity, Bitcoin purchases, and Mizuho’s revised Bitcoin price forecasts based on latest adoption trends.
In other recent news, Strategy reported record-breaking second-quarter 2025 results, surpassing consensus earnings forecasts. The company raised its 2025 Bitcoin KPI targets for the second time this year and provided a full-year 2025 financial outlook, projecting $34 billion in operating income and $24 billion in net income, with earnings of $80 per share. Despite these strong results, H.C. Wainwright maintained its Buy rating with a $521 price target. Additionally, Clear Street increased its price target for Strategy to $537, citing a positive outlook on Bitcoin yield and forward balances, although this is partially offset by an anticipated rise in share count. Furthermore, MicroStrategy announced updates to its at-the-market offering programs and reported acquiring 21,021 additional bitcoins for approximately $2.46 billion. This acquisition brings the company’s total bitcoin holdings to 628,791, with a total aggregate purchase price of about $46.08 billion. These developments reflect ongoing strategic adjustments and market expectations for the company.
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