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Investing.com - UBS initiated coverage on Supreme Industries (NS:SI) with a Sell rating and a price target of INR3,500.00, citing potential demand growth challenges for the Indian pipe manufacturer.
The investment bank noted that while Supreme Industries has historically grown in line with or better than its organized peers, the company may face more significant demand challenges due to its size and dependence on the high-density polyethylene (HDPE) segment.
UBS specifically highlighted concerns about soft demand in the HDPE segment after the completion of the government’s Jal Jeevan Mission, which is expected to conclude in approximately two years.
Despite favorable polyvinyl chloride (PVC) prices, UBS projects only slight margin improvement in fiscal years 2027-2028 due to relatively low utilization of upcoming capacity additions.
The bank expects Supreme Industries’ return on capital employed (ROCE) to reach 18-20% over fiscal years 2026-2028, significantly below the 24% achieved in fiscal year 2024, while noting the stock currently trades at more than two standard deviations above its long-term average.
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