TD Cowen maintains AutoZone buy rating, $4,300 target

Published 28/05/2025, 17:26
TD Cowen maintains AutoZone buy rating, $4,300 target

On Wednesday, TD Cowen reaffirmed its confidence in AutoZone stock (NYSE:AZO), maintaining a Buy rating and a $4,300.00 price target. The firm’s analyst, Max Rakhlenko, highlighted the company’s strong performance despite facing some short-term headwinds. With a current market capitalization of $63.12 billion and trading near its 52-week high of $3,916.81, AutoZone has demonstrated remarkable strength. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets range from $2,830 to $4,850, reflecting diverse market opinions about this prominent specialty retail player. Rakhlenko’s focus was on AutoZone’s robust domestic comparable sales growth, which rose by 5%, driven by increasing momentum in both the do-it-for-me (DIFM) and do-it-yourself (DIY) segments.

The third-quarter results for AutoZone showed complexities, with impressive domestic comparable sales growth being partially offset by margin pressures due to one-time factors and strategic long-term investments. The company maintains a robust gross profit margin of 53.13% and a healthy return on assets of 14.97%. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is trading above its Fair Value, with 10+ additional exclusive insights available to subscribers. Rakhlenko noted these investments, although impacting margins in the short term, are expected to normalize over the coming quarters. He underscored the potential for AutoZone to benefit from these investments as the initiatives mature.

Rakhlenko also pointed out the favorable conditions that could benefit AutoZone in the near future, including likely inflationary trends and the opportunity for the company to capture additional market share. He expressed a positive outlook on AutoZone’s strategic positioning, suggesting that the company is making prudent decisions that will pay off in the long run.

The analyst further elaborated that the investments AutoZone is making are sensible, especially considering the competitive landscape and the company’s desire to secure a stronger foothold in the market. With initiatives expected to bear fruit and inflation anticipated to pick up, Rakhlenko sees a promising setup for AutoZone to leverage the market opportunities that lie ahead.

In summary, TD Cowen’s stance on AutoZone remains unchanged, with the firm seeing the auto parts retailer as well positioned to sustain its growth trajectory and benefit from its strategic investments. The reiterated Buy rating and price target of $4,300.00 reflect the firm’s confidence in AutoZone’s potential to continue delivering strong financial performance. With revenue growth of 4.72% and an overall Financial Health Score of "GOOD" according to InvestingPro, the company demonstrates solid fundamentals. Discover comprehensive analysis and 1,400+ detailed Pro Research Reports, transforming complex Wall Street data into actionable investment intelligence.

In other recent news, AutoZone has been the subject of several analyst updates, reflecting a positive outlook on its growth and strategic investments. UBS analyst Michael Lasser raised AutoZone’s price target to $4,260, citing strategic investments that are expected to enhance earnings growth despite near-term profitability pressures. Similarly, Guggenheim increased the price target to $4,100, emphasizing AutoZone’s acceleration in domestic retail and commercial sales, despite some margin pressures. Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James also lifted its price target to $4,200, highlighting positive sales momentum and strategic initiatives like the expansion of mega hubs, which are anticipated to boost growth.

Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) maintained its price target at $4,200, noting strong domestic comparable sales growth in both the DIY and DIFM segments, despite some challenges in gross margins and SG&A expenses. DA Davidson took a more optimistic stance, raising its price target to $4,850, based on AutoZone’s investments in its commercial business and positive trends in the DIY segment. The firm expressed confidence in AutoZone’s ability to leverage merchandise margins and manage SG&A expenses over time.

These developments underscore a broad consensus among analysts that AutoZone’s strategic investments are beginning to yield results, positioning the company favorably for future growth. Despite some short-term challenges, analysts from these firms maintain a positive outlook, with most reiterating Buy ratings on AutoZone shares. The company’s ongoing expansion efforts, particularly in mega hubs, and market share gains are seen as key drivers of its anticipated growth trajectory.

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