TD Cowen maintains Netflix stock Buy rating, $1,150 target

Published 08/04/2025, 16:28
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On Tuesday, TD Cowen expressed continued confidence in Netflix stock (NASDAQ:NFLX), maintaining a Buy rating and a price target of $1,150.00. The firm's analysts highlighted Netflix's solid positioning despite macroeconomic challenges. According to their projections, Netflix is expected to see a 12% year-over-year revenue increase in the first quarter of 2025, supported by robust membership growth trends. Their revenue and operating income estimates are aligned with and 4% below consensus, respectively. This outlook aligns with Netflix's strong financial health, reflected in its perfect Piotroski Score of 9 and "GREAT" overall rating according to InvestingPro metrics.

TD Cowen is anticipating further details on the adoption of Netflix's advertising-supported tier, margin trends, and the rollout of advertising technology. Their recent survey indicates that Netflix remains the leading platform for living room entertainment. The analysts consider Netflix the most defensive stock in their coverage universe against a tough macroeconomic environment, citing the company's strong business demand, valuable content slate, competitive pricing, especially with the lower-priced ad tier in 12 major markets, and the secular trend of streaming video adoption. The company's financial strength is evident in its impressive 46% gross profit margin and 15.7% revenue growth over the last twelve months.

Netflix's stock performance has been highlighted as relatively resilient, with a year-to-date decline of 3%, compared to the S&P 500's 14% drop and an 18% decrease since the mid-February peak. The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26 times based on TD Cowen's 2026 earnings estimates, which is considered favorable given their estimated 28% earnings per share growth from 2024 to 2027. The analysts view any recent pullback in Netflix's stock as a buying opportunity, given the company's defensive qualities in an uncertain market.

In other recent news, Netflix has been the focus of several analysts and developments that could interest investors. Evercore ISI maintained an Outperform rating with a price target of $1,100, citing Netflix's strong market position and financial resilience, including its operating margins and free cash flow. FBN Securities also initiated coverage with an Outperform rating, setting a price target of $1,165, and highlighted Netflix's projected revenue growth and expansion in advertising. Bernstein SocGen Group reaffirmed an Outperform rating with a price target of $1,200, noting Netflix's adeptness in navigating European tariffs and regulations.

Additionally, Netflix announced an update expanding language options for TV viewers, enhancing accessibility to its global catalog. This update is part of Netflix's strategy to cater to its diverse audience, as a significant portion of its viewership comes from non-English language content. Furthermore, Netflix's 'Drive to Survive' series has been credited with transforming the sponsorship landscape of Formula 1, making the sport more appealing to sponsors by shifting its perception from elitist to aspirational. These developments reflect Netflix's ongoing efforts to innovate and adapt to various market challenges and opportunities.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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