TD Cowen reiterates buy on ASML stock, maintains EUR825 target

Published 14/03/2025, 17:12
TD Cowen reiterates buy on ASML stock, maintains EUR825 target

On Friday, TD Cowen analysts maintained a Buy rating on ASML Holding NV (AS:ASML:NA) (NASDAQ: ASML) with a steady price target of EUR825.00. The firm’s analysts highlight ASML’s leading position in the lithography equipment market, which is crucial for the production of advanced semiconductors. This market leadership is reflected in ASML’s strong financial metrics, with a robust gross profit margin of 51% and return on equity of 47%. They underscore the company’s importance in addressing the ongoing challenges within the foundry and logic sectors, as well as its role in the evolution of DRAM technology.

The analysts find ASML’s valuation compelling, noting it is trading at a near five-year low premium of approximately 1.5 times compared to the average of 2.1 times. This valuation is seen as attractive relative to its industry peers. According to InvestingPro data, ASML currently trades at a P/E ratio of 34x, with 9 analysts recently revising their earnings estimates upward. They emphasize that the company’s bookings momentum in the first half of 2025 will be essential for its 2026 outlook. Nevertheless, they believe the long-term narrative around lithography technology remains solid. For deeper insights into ASML’s valuation metrics and growth potential, investors can access comprehensive analysis through InvestingPro’s detailed research reports.

ASML’s bookings for Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems provide the analysts with confidence that the company’s targets for the current year are largely risk-mitigated. With revenue growth of 2.56% in the last twelve months and projected growth of 15% for FY2025, the company demonstrates strong momentum. They suggest that mid-term market sentiment could hinge on continued investment in leading-edge technology, the adoption of EUV layers at customer sites, including those manufacturing DRAM, and the sustained demand for Deep Ultraviolet (DUV) lithography systems, particularly considering the market dynamics in China and the digestion of capacity at the trailing edge.

The analysts conclude that, based on the current trajectory and market conditions, ASML’s targets for 2030 are within reach. The company’s strong financial health is evidenced by its healthy current ratio of 1.53 and moderate debt levels, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27. They point out that the company’s strategic position in the semiconductor industry, coupled with its advanced technology offerings, positions it well for future growth and sustains its status as TD Cowen’s top European pick for 2025. InvestingPro subscribers can access over 30 additional financial metrics and insights about ASML’s market position and growth potential.

In other recent news, ASML Holding NV has been a focal point of attention with several significant developments. The company reported a robust EUR7 billion in orders for the fourth quarter of 2024, driven by increased investments from leading foundries and memory companies, reinforcing its revenue outlook for 2025. In contrast, ASML’s annual report highlighted a decrease in customer demand in 2024 due to uncertainties over export controls, impacting its sales in China, which previously accounted for 36% of its revenue. Analysts from Berenberg and JPMorgan have maintained a positive stance on ASML, with Berenberg reiterating a Buy rating and a EUR800 target, while JPMorgan reaffirmed an Overweight rating with a €1,057 target.

Additionally, BofA Securities has upheld its Buy rating with a EUR859 price target, noting ASML’s appealing valuation compared to its historical average. The firm’s analysis suggests that ASML’s revenue guidance for 2025 is achievable, although it may require adjustments in revenue from IBM (NYSE:IBM) and other sources. Meanwhile, Lam Research (NASDAQ:LRCX), a competitor in the semiconductor equipment market, introduced new tools to enhance AI chip production, positioning itself alongside ASML and other major industry players. These developments underscore the dynamic nature of the semiconductor industry and the critical role ASML plays within it.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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