Trex stock price target cut to $60 at DA Davidson

Published 09/04/2025, 16:06
Trex stock price target cut to $60 at DA Davidson

On Wednesday, DA Davidson issued a revised price target for Trex Company Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:TREX), a leading manufacturer of wood-alternative decking and railing products. The firm's analyst, Kurt Yinger, adjusted the price target downward from $74.00 to $60.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, TREX is currently trading around $51, having fallen nearly 16% in the past week alone. The stock's analyst targets range from $54 to $90, suggesting potential upside despite recent challenges.

The adjustment comes after a recent contractor survey indicated a slight slowdown in decking project activity in the first quarter of 2025, with a growth of just 2% compared to the 3% growth observed in the previous three quarters. Additionally, the near-term growth outlook for the next three to six months has also seen a slight decline, with full-year growth expectations experiencing a more substantial drop from an anticipated 9% to 4%. Despite these challenges, InvestingPro data shows that Trex maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 42% and has achieved revenue growth of 5.2% over the last twelve months.

Yinger's commentary reflects concerns about political and economic uncertainty affecting homeowners' decisions to proceed with decking projects. The weakening consumer confidence is particularly troubling as it may impact product sell-through during the crucial Spring and Summer seasons, which are typically more significant for sales. With a market capitalization of $5.4 billion and operating with a moderate level of debt, Trex maintains a solid financial foundation despite market uncertainties.

The Neutral rating suggests that DA Davidson's stance on Trex remains unchanged despite the lowered price target. The analyst's comments underscore the potential impact of broader economic factors on the company's performance, especially in light of the recent survey findings.

Investors in Trex will likely monitor the company's performance in the upcoming months, especially as the industry heads into the key selling period, to see if these projections and concerns play out in the company's financial results.

In other recent news, Trex Company, Inc. reported a strong performance in its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.09, surpassing the forecast of $0.04. Revenue reached $168 million, exceeding expectations by $8.71 million. The company's full-year net sales for 2024 totaled $1.2 billion, reflecting a 5% increase from the previous year, while net income grew by 10% to $226 million. Following these results, Benchmark maintained its Buy rating with an $80 price target, citing Trex's strong financial performance and optimistic growth projections. Truist Securities also reaffirmed its Buy rating, though it adjusted the price target to $90 from $100, highlighting Trex's strategic inventory management and anticipated mid-single-digit revenue growth. Meanwhile, DA Davidson held a Neutral rating with a $74 price target, noting the company's robust profit margins and potential market outperformance. Jefferies adjusted its price target for Trex to $71 from $81, maintaining a Hold rating, while recognizing the company's strong revenue and margin performance. These developments underscore Trex's ability to navigate market conditions effectively and its strategic focus on expanding product offerings and market reach.

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