Truist upgrades Peloton stock rating to buy, sets $11 target

Published 28/04/2025, 11:50
Truist upgrades Peloton stock rating to buy, sets $11 target

On Monday, Truist Securities shifted their position on Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON) stock from Hold to Buy, setting a price target of $11.00. The firm’s analysts have identified a turning point for the fitness company, citing improved fundamentals that could support a gradual recovery of its equity value. The stock has shown momentum recently, posting an impressive 18.23% return over the past week. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company’s overall financial health score is FAIR, with particularly strong liquidity metrics. The upgrade comes after more than three years since the firm downgraded the stock to Hold from Buy.

The analysts at Truist highlighted that Peloton has undergone significant changes, including a cleanup of its balance sheet and a substantial reduction in operating expenses. These steps are aimed at ensuring sustained free cash flow profitability. With a current ratio of 2.06, InvestingPro data shows the company’s liquid assets comfortably exceed short-term obligations. The new leadership at Peloton is credited with refocusing the company’s efforts on revenue growth, which is projected to be evident in fiscal year 2026, though analysts currently anticipate a 9% revenue decline for the current fiscal year.

A key factor in the optimistic outlook is Peloton’s subscription model, which currently accounts for approximately two-thirds of the company’s revenue. Truist analysts underscored the improving profitability and margins, coupled with a valuation they consider "washed-out" at 1.4 times sales and 10.3 times adjusted EBITDA, to suggest that the risks associated with Peloton stock have been substantially mitigated.

Looking ahead to the near term, the analysts expect Peloton’s fiscal third-quarter 2025 results, which are scheduled to be released on May 8, 2025, to show revenue figures slightly above the consensus. This expectation is based on the firm’s analysis of card data. For deeper insights into Peloton’s financial outlook, InvestingPro subscribers can access a comprehensive Pro Research Report, which includes detailed analysis of the company’s $2.45B market cap business and its 47.45% gross margin. The positive forecast and the new price target represent a renewed confidence in Peloton’s potential for growth and financial stability.

In other recent news, Peloton Interactive has received preliminary court approval for a settlement related to consolidated derivative actions, marking a significant step in resolving ongoing litigation. The settlement, initially agreed upon in July 2024, involves cases in both New York and Delaware courts, though specific financial details remain undisclosed. In financial projections, BofA Securities has adjusted Peloton’s price target to $9.50 while maintaining a Buy rating, with analysts forecasting revenue and EBITDA figures for the upcoming quarter that exceed Wall Street’s consensus. Meanwhile, Citizens JMP has maintained a Market Perform rating, highlighting Peloton’s potential strategies to enhance monetization, such as a possible increase in subscription pricing. Peloton has also announced leadership changes, appointing Charles Kirol as COO and Dion Camp Sanders as CCO, aimed at boosting operational efficiency and market presence. UBS analysts have reiterated a Neutral rating with a $7.50 price target, noting that new tariffs may have minimal impact on Peloton’s cost of goods sold. The company continues to navigate these developments amid broader economic uncertainties affecting the connected fitness industry.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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