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On Friday, UBS analyst Taylor McGinnis revised the price target for Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) shares to $150 from the previous $175 while sustaining a Buy rating on the company’s stock. Currently trading at $99.63, Twilio has shown impressive momentum with a 59% return over the past year, despite recent volatility. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears slightly undervalued based on its Fair Value assessment. The adjustment follows Twilio’s recent quarterly financial results, which McGinnis remarked surpassed expectations without showing any negative effects from concerns about the company’s business-to-consumer (B2C) exposure and its usage-based pricing model.
Twilio’s revenue growth has been on the rise for the fourth consecutive quarter, achieving a 12% year-over-year increase. The guidance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 suggests a revenue growth of 9-10% year-over-year, the highest since the first quarter of fiscal year 2023. Additionally, Twilio reported a significant improvement in its EBIT margin, reaching 18% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, a notable change from the marginal gains seen in the previous two quarters. The company maintains strong financial health with a "GREAT" overall score from InvestingPro, supported by a robust current ratio of 4.2 and solid cash position.
McGinnis highlighted that Twilio has not experienced any material adverse effects related to macroeconomic conditions up to the end of April. The firm’s confidence in maintaining double-digit growth in the upcoming quarter is largely attributed to Twilio’s own operational improvements and internal growth initiatives. Despite the reduced price target, UBS’s stance remains positive due to the room for potential macro deterioration factored into the second half of fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance, which anticipates a growth of 5% compared to 11% in the first half of the fiscal year.
The valuation of Twilio at 13 times its calendar year 2025 enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF) is still considered attractive by UBS. The firm’s analysis suggests that Twilio’s strategy allows for a cushion against potential macroeconomic challenges, and it supports the expectation of a sustained 20% or more growth in earnings per share (EPS) and free cash flow (FCF). With an EV/EBITDA of 80.4x and analysts forecasting profitability this year, investors seeking deeper insights can access comprehensive valuation metrics and 12 additional ProTips through InvestingPro’s detailed research report.
In other recent news, Twilio reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, surpassing earnings and revenue forecasts. The company achieved an earnings per share of $1.14, exceeding the forecasted $0.96, and reported revenue of $1.17 billion compared to the expected $1.14 billion. This marks Twilio’s third consecutive quarter of accelerating double-digit revenue growth, with a 12% year-over-year increase. Following these impressive results, several analysts adjusted their price targets for Twilio. Scotiabank (TSX:BNS) raised its target to $135, maintaining a Sector Outperform rating, while Goldman Sachs increased its target to $145, reiterating a Buy rating. Both firms highlighted Twilio’s advancements in artificial intelligence and its strategic initiatives as key factors in their assessments. Additionally, Twilio’s operating margins expanded by 300 basis points year-over-year, and the company reported a notable improvement in free cash flow. Despite the positive momentum, Twilio has taken a cautious approach to its full-year projections, reflecting its commitment to maintaining financial discipline amidst broader economic concerns.
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