UBS lifts Evolution Mining stock rating to neutral, raises target

Published 18/02/2025, 13:42
UBS lifts Evolution Mining stock rating to neutral, raises target

On Tuesday, UBS analyst Levi Spry adjusted the firm’s stance on Evolution Mining Ltd. (EVN:AU) (OTC: CAHPF), upgrading the stock from a Sell to a Neutral rating and increasing the price target from AUD5.45 to AUD6.50. This revision reflects the company’s solid performance in production, cost management, and project guidance for the fiscal year 2025. According to InvestingPro data, the company has demonstrated strong financial health with a 60.5% revenue growth in the last twelve months and maintains an impressive gross profit margin of 32.2%.

Spry highlighted Evolution Mining’s recovery from the operational challenges it faced in 2023, including the unfavorable reception of the Northparkes transaction. The company’s consistent operational execution, combined with beneficial market conditions for commodities, has contributed to its degearing process and notable performance throughout 2024. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company has maintained dividend payments for 13 consecutive years and achieved a remarkable 100.5% price return over the past year. Subscribers can access 5 additional ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics through the Pro Research Report.

As gold prices reach new record highs in Australian dollars, Spry acknowledged that Evolution Mining remains one of the pricier gold stocks. However, based on UBS’s updated gold price forecasts, the stock’s valuation has become more attractive, warranting the upgrade to a Neutral rating. InvestingPro data shows the stock trading near its 52-week high with a P/E ratio of 17.6x and an EV/EBITDA of 6.3x, suggesting current valuation levels are supported by strong fundamentals.

The analyst’s commentary underscored the significant improvement in Evolution Mining’s operations and financial health. The company’s progress, along with a strong gold market, has played a key role in its ability to outperform expectations and reduce its debt levels.

Evolution Mining’s new price target of AUD6.50 per share set by UBS reflects the firm’s confidence in the company’s current trajectory and its position within the gold sector, despite the stock’s relatively high valuation compared to peers.

In other recent news, Evolution Mining has been the subject of multiple ratings changes by various financial firms. UBS downgraded the company’s stock from Neutral to Sell, despite an increase in the price target from AUD5.40 to AUD5.45. This decision came in the wake of Evolution Mining’s robust first-half performance in fiscal year 2025, with earnings surpassing expectations and a net profit after tax of $365 million.

Meanwhile, Canaccord Genuity also adjusted its stance on Evolution Mining, downgrading the stock from Buy to Hold, while maintaining a price target of AUD6.15. This decision was taken despite the company’s strong performance in the gold and copper markets and its improved financial capacity.

JPMorgan followed suit, downgrading Evolution Mining from Neutral to Underweight and adjusting the price target to AUD4.90 from the previous AUD4.95. This decision was made after the company’s first-half 2025 financial results exceeded JPMorgan’s expectations, with a net profit after tax being 21% higher than their estimates.

Citi analysts also downgraded Evolution Mining from Buy to Neutral, while increasing the price target from AUD5.50 to AUD5.80. The downgrade was attributed to the company’s current valuation, despite the positive performance in the first half of 2025.

Lastly, JPMorgan upgraded Evolution Mining from Underweight to Neutral following a revision of its earnings expectations for the company. The firm also increased the price target for the mining company’s shares to AUD4.90, up from the previous target of AUD4.10.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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