UBS maintains buy rating on PBF Energy stock amid cash flow improvements

Published 05/06/2025, 14:54
UBS maintains buy rating on PBF Energy stock amid cash flow improvements

On Thursday, UBS analysts reiterated their Buy rating for PBF Energy stock (NYSE: NYSE:PBF), maintaining a price target of $26.00, representing significant upside from the current price of $17.85. The decision reflects the company’s anticipated improvements in cash flow and operational efficiencies. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears undervalued based on its Fair Value assessment.

Despite a challenging year with the stock down 59% and offering a 6.13% dividend yield, PBF Energy is expecting to receive $250 million in insurance proceeds during the second quarter of 2025. Additionally, the company plans to liquidate 2 million barrels of inventory in the same period, which is expected to bolster cash balances.

The Martinez refinery is currently operating at a capacity of 85,000 to 105,000 barrels per day, although the fluid catalytic cracking unit remains offline. Intermediate products are being processed at the Torrance refinery, transported by water.

UBS analysts noted that while crack spreads have returned to mid-cycle levels, earnings have not followed suit due to narrow differentials.

In other recent news, PBF Energy Inc. reported a challenging first quarter of 2025, with an adjusted net loss of $3.09 per share, missing the forecasted loss of $2.17 per share. However, the company exceeded revenue expectations, bringing in $7.07 billion against a forecast of $6.83 billion. UBS analysts upgraded PBF Energy’s stock rating from ’Neutral’ to ’Buy’ and raised the price target to $26, citing an improvement in refining fundamentals. In contrast, Moody’s downgraded PBF’s Corporate Family Rating to Ba3, reflecting concerns over increased debt and financial leverage. PBF Energy shareholders recently elected the Board of Directors and approved KPMG as the independent auditor for 2025. Additionally, PBF Logistics (NYSE:PBFX) arranged to sell two refined products terminal facilities for $175 million, with completion expected in the latter half of the year. Despite operational challenges, such as a fire at the Martinez refinery, PBF Energy is focusing on cost savings and operational improvements, targeting over $200 million in cost reductions by the end of the year.

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