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On Tuesday, UBS reaffirmed its positive stance on Energy Transfer (NYSE:ET), maintaining a Buy rating and a $24.00 price target for the company’s shares. With a current market capitalization of $64.8 billion and a robust dividend yield of 6.89%, Energy Transfer has established itself as a significant player in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. According to InvestingPro data, the company is currently trading near its Fair Value, while maintaining strong financial health with an overall score of "GOOD." The support for the energy company’s stock follows UBS’s updated first-quarter earnings estimates, which have been increased based on several operational improvements and favorable weather conditions.
UBS analysts have raised their EBITDA forecast for Energy Transfer in the first quarter of 2025 to $3,951 million, up from the previous estimate of $3,797 million. This forecast aligns with the company’s track record of steady growth, as evidenced by its 5.2% revenue increase over the last twelve months to $82.7 billion. This adjustment is primarily attributed to the upgrades made to the Arrowhead 2 and Arrowhead 3 processing plants, as well as the financial benefits garnered from seasonally colder weather, which tends to increase energy demand.
Capital expenditures for the first quarter are estimated at $1,500 million, a slight increase from $1,472 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. The analysts have also provided detailed projections for the various segments within Energy Transfer. The Intrastate EBITDA is expected to rise to $343 million, up from $263 million in the previous quarter. Conversely, the Interstate EBITDA is predicted to decrease slightly to $450 million from $493 million in the fourth quarter of 2024.
The Midstream segment of Energy Transfer is anticipated to see an increase in EBITDA, reaching $733 million compared to $705 million in the fourth quarter. The NGL Transportation and Services segment, however, might experience a decline in EBITDA, dropping to $1,013 million from $1,108 million in the previous quarter.
Further estimates include a rise in Crude EBITDA to $796 million, up from $760 million, and an increase in Sunoco Retail Marketing EBITDA to $457 million from $439 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. The USAC EBITDA is projected to fall to $129 million, a decrease from $155 million in the preceding quarter.
UBS’s continued endorsement of Energy Transfer stock with a Buy rating and a stable price target reflects their confidence in the company’s financial performance and strategic operational enhancements. The broader analyst consensus strongly favors the stock, with price targets ranging from $19 to $26 per share. For deeper insights into Energy Transfer’s valuation and growth prospects, including access to comprehensive financial metrics and expert analysis, visit InvestingPro, where you’ll find detailed research reports and additional ProTips about the company’s performance and outlook.
In other recent news, Evertz Technologies reported its third-quarter earnings, revealing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.27, which fell short of the $0.37 forecast. The company’s revenue reached $136.9 million, reflecting a modest 1% increase compared to the previous year. Meanwhile, RBC Capital Markets maintained its Outperform rating for Energy Transfer, citing the company’s growth potential due to its strategic asset positioning and readiness to meet increasing natural gas demand. The analysts at RBC highlighted Energy Transfer’s strong cash flow and distribution yield as key factors supporting their positive outlook.
Sunoco LP announced the pricing of a private offering of senior notes totaling $1 billion, with a 6.250% interest rate and a 2033 maturity date. This offering was increased from an initial $750 million due to high demand, with proceeds aimed at repaying existing debts, including NuStar Logistics’ senior notes due in 2025. The transaction is expected to close in March 2025, subject to customary conditions. Sunoco clarified that the notes are directed at qualified institutional buyers and non-U.S. persons, as they are not registered under the Securities Act of 1933. These developments highlight the strategic financial maneuvers by Sunoco and the ongoing confidence in Energy Transfer’s market positioning.
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