UBS maintains NVIDIA stock Buy rating, $185 target

Published 19/03/2025, 16:06
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Wednesday

UBS analysts have reaffirmed their Buy rating and $185.00 price target for NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) shares. The firm’s analyst, Timothy Arcuri, provided insights into NVIDIA’s recent presentation, focusing on the company’s compute demand and scaling capabilities.

Arcuri highlighted that NVIDIA effectively addressed concerns about a potential slowdown in compute demand and scaling. He pointed out three main areas of debate that arose from the presentation. The most contentious issue stemmed from a slide comparing unit shipments to the top four U.S. Cloud Service Providers (CSPs) for NVIDIA’s Hopper and Blackwell products. The data suggested that these customers represented approximately 40% of total units last year. This strong market position is reflected in NVIDIA’s impressive financial metrics, with InvestingPro showing a remarkable 114% revenue growth and 75% gross profit margin in the last twelve months.

Upon further discussion with NVIDIA, it was clarified that the figures for Blackwell were indicative of shipments currently in process, which Arcuri interpreted as being roughly equivalent to the company’s backlog, extending through the third calendar quarter of this year. Considering a similar sales mix and subtracting the estimated 100,000 units shipped to these CSPs in January, the analyst estimated that total Blackwell units could be in the vicinity of 4.2 million from the first fiscal quarter (April) to the third fiscal quarter (October) of this year.

Arcuri’s analysis provides investors with a clearer picture of NVIDIA’s performance and expectations for the upcoming months. The analyst’s reiteration of the Buy rating and price target suggests confidence in NVIDIA’s market position and future prospects.

NVIDIA’s stock performance will continue to be watched closely by investors as the company progresses through its fiscal year, with particular attention to the adoption and shipment of its Blackwell units to major CSPs. With a market capitalization of $2.85 trillion and strong financial health metrics, NVIDIA remains a key player in the semiconductor industry. For deeper insights into NVIDIA’s valuation and growth prospects, investors can access comprehensive analysis and over 20 additional ProTips through InvestingPro’s detailed research reports.

In other recent news, NVIDIA has garnered attention following its GPU Technology Conference (GTC) with several key announcements. The company introduced the Blackwell Ultra (GB300) and Vera Rubin platforms, which are expected to enhance performance in AI applications. During the GTC, NVIDIA also launched the Isaac GR00T N1, an open-source model for humanoid robots, which may accelerate market adoption by improving AI model training efficiency. Analysts have responded to these developments with mixed ratings: HSBC maintained a Buy rating with a $175 target, KeyBanc kept an Overweight rating with a $190 target, Stifel reiterated a Buy rating with a $180 target, and Cantor Fitzgerald held a Neutral rating with a $200 target.

NVIDIA’s CEO, Jensen Huang, highlighted advancements in AI infrastructure, including the introduction of Dynamo software and new hardware products like the DGX Spark and DGX Station PCs. These innovations aim to optimize AI reasoning models and enhance data transfer speeds. Additionally, NVIDIA’s collaboration with General Motors (NYSE:GM) on next-generation vehicles and its focus on robotics AI markets signal potential growth areas outside of data centers. Analysts have noted the strategic importance of these initiatives, with firms like KeyBanc emphasizing NVIDIA’s leadership in AI performance.

Overall, NVIDIA’s recent announcements and strategic roadmap have reinforced its position in the AI sector, with a focus on both hardware and software advancements. The company’s efforts to integrate top-tier hardware with software like the Dynamo stack are expected to significantly boost AI inference capabilities. While some analysts express caution regarding market conditions, others remain optimistic about NVIDIA’s prospects, underscoring the company’s potential to capitalize on the growing demand for AI and computing infrastructure.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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