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On Wednesday, UBS analyst Francois-Xavier Bouvignies upgraded the rating for ASM International NV (AS:ASMI) (ASM:NA) to Buy from Neutral, despite reducing the price target to EUR570.00 from EUR610.00. Bouvignies highlights the company as a high-quality investment option in Europe, with an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20% in earnings per share (EPS) from 2025 to 2029.
The analyst points out that while the market is aware of the growth potential from the transition to gate all around (GAA) technology, there are additional, less recognized growth drivers beyond 2026. The report delves into these unacknowledged factors that could drive revenue growth in both advanced logic and memory sectors.
Despite anticipating some potential downside risks to the company’s performance by 2026, Bouvignies suggests that current stock valuations already reflect these risks. ASM International NV’s stock is trading at 29 times its projected 2026 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and 22 times the 2027 estimate, compared to a five-year average of 30 times P/E for similar growth profiles.
The UBS analyst believes that an adjustment of market expectations, which could occur in the second quarter or before the company’s Capital Markets Day in September, may serve as a "clearing event" that could recalibrate investor perspectives and valuations of the stock. The report emphasizes the opportunity for investors to enter at what is seen as an attractive valuation point for a company with strong growth prospects.
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