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Investing.com - UBS maintained its buy rating and $311.00 price target on FedEx (NYSE:FDX) stock on Monday, despite growing investor concerns about both cyclical and secular challenges facing the company. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets currently range from $200 to $354, with the stock showing signs of being slightly undervalued based on Fair Value analysis.
The investment firm noted that recent investor conversations have highlighted worries about ongoing headwinds to China-US airfreight and express markets, particularly from the closing of the de minimis exemption, as well as general economic weakness. Despite these concerns, FedEx maintains a "GOOD" Financial Health Score on InvestingPro, supported by its strong dividend history of 24 consecutive years of payments.
FedEx stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 11.4x based on consensus estimates of about $19.80 per share for fiscal 2026, which is below its 10-year average forward P/E of 13.0x.
UBS acknowledged it has "low expectations" for FedEx’s upcoming fourth-quarter financial results, though it pointed out that investor sentiment already shows "significant negative skew."
Questions about addressable market growth continue to create an overhang for both FedEx and UPS, according to UBS’s market analysis.
In other recent news, FedEx is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings, with several analysts adjusting their expectations due to macroeconomic challenges. Evercore ISI lowered its price target for FedEx to $259, citing a slowdown in retail sales growth and weakening industrial production. Similarly, Stephens reduced its price target to $280, highlighting ongoing challenges in the company’s parcel and less-than-truckload businesses. Bernstein also adjusted its price target to $249, expressing concerns about FedEx’s ability to bridge current initiatives with future plans. Wolfe Research decreased its price target to $253 ahead of the earnings report, while maintaining an Outperform rating, and slightly reduced its fourth-quarter earnings estimate to $5.88 per share. Despite these adjustments, Wolfe Research raised its fiscal 2026 earnings per share estimate by 3%, anticipating earnings guidance of $18-$20. In other developments, FedEx announced the passing of its founder, Frederick Smith, who was succeeded by Raj Subramaniam as CEO in 2022.
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