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Investing.com - UBS resumed coverage of Elastic NV (NYSE:ESTC) with a Buy rating and set a price target of $95.00, down from the previous target of $148.00. The stock, which has declined nearly 38% over the past six months according to InvestingPro data, currently trades near its 52-week low of $69.00.
The firm’s decision follows conversations with more than 15 industry checks, which indicated a stable to slightly improved demand environment for Elastic’s services.
UBS believes Elastic’s stock is currently pricing in approximately 12% growth for fiscal years 2026 and 2027, while the firm’s own model projects 13% growth during this period with potential upside to 15-16% in an optimistic scenario.
The firm’s free cash flow estimates for Elastic in fiscal years 2026 and 2027 are approximately 4% and 6% higher than consensus forecasts, respectively.
UBS acknowledged competition remains a key risk factor for Elastic, but noted the current valuation of approximately 4 times calendar year 2026 estimated revenue appears to already account for competitive pressures.
In other recent news, Elastic has introduced a new service tier called Elastic Observability Logs Essentials on its Cloud Serverless platform, aimed at developers and site reliability engineers seeking log analytics capabilities without the need to manage infrastructure. Additionally, Elastic has enhanced its vector search capabilities with the release of ACORN and Better Binary Quantization (BBQ) technologies, which are designed to improve performance and reduce costs for AI applications. On the regulatory front, Elastic’s Cloud Hosted service has achieved FedRAMP High "In Process" status on AWS GovCloud (US), marking a significant step toward supporting sensitive U.S. federal government workloads.
In terms of analyst activity, Monness, Crespi, Hardt upgraded Elastic’s stock rating from neutral to buy, setting a price target of $111. This upgrade is based on the company’s underperformance compared to other tech stocks, despite the rise of AI-fueled technology shares. Meanwhile, Canaccord Genuity adjusted its price target for Elastic to $110 from a previous $135, while maintaining a Buy rating. The analysts expressed optimism about the company’s potential, citing what they view as conservative guidance that could lead to improved performance over the year. These developments highlight a period of significant activity and strategic advancements for Elastic.
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