UBS sees sports streaming stabilizing networks, hurting cable

Published 03/03/2025, 15:52
UBS sees sports streaming stabilizing networks, hurting cable

On Monday, UBS released a client note discussing the potential impact of new, less expensive sports-focused TV packages on the broadcasting industry. The note, authored by UBS analyst John Hodulik, suggests that these packages could bring stability to sports networks while increasing the challenges for entertainment-focused cable networks. According to InvestingPro data, this shift comes as major players like Google’s YouTube TV maintain strong market positions, with parent company Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) showing robust financial health and a "GREAT" overall financial score.

The analyst believes that the ability to access nearly all live sports through streaming platforms, along with the introduction of cheaper sports-focused packages, could shift the television viewing landscape. Hodulik’s assessment comes in light of recent developments such as the Disney-Fubo deal and the introduction of "skinny bundles" by DirecTV and Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA). These bundles are expected to be priced between $60 and $70 per month, providing a more affordable option compared to traditional linear TV and virtual multichannel video programming distributors (vMVPD) like YouTube TV (YTTV) and Hulu with Live TV, which currently cost around $83 per month. YouTube TV’s parent company Alphabet has demonstrated strong revenue growth of nearly 14% over the last twelve months, supporting its competitive position in the streaming market.

Hodulik’s analysis indicates that these new offerings could lead to substantial savings for consumers and may result in a modest adoption rate. Such a change is anticipated to further drive the divergence in affiliate and advertising trends within cable network groups, depending on their level of involvement in sports broadcasting.

The introduction of sports-focused linear TV bundles has been made economically viable for the first time, thanks to transactions like Disney (NYSE:DIS)’s acquisition of FuboTV (NYSE:FUBO) and the launch of new packages by major providers. These bundles are designed to aggregate sports networks into a single, economically attractive package.

UBS’s note to clients evaluates the economics of these new services and identifies which companies stand to benefit or lose from the expected shifts in TV viewing habits. The firm’s analysis is based on the current market trends and the recent strategic moves by key players in the media industry. For investors seeking deeper insights into companies like Alphabet, InvestingPro offers comprehensive analysis including 12+ key financial tips and detailed valuation metrics, available in the Pro Research Report along with expert analysis of 1,400+ top stocks.

In other recent news, Alphabet Inc.’s Google has secured a $2.5 billion cloud contract with Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) Inc., marking a significant alliance in the tech industry. This agreement will see Salesforce investing in Google’s cloud services over seven years, allowing Salesforce customers to use Google’s infrastructure for their customer-management software and AI products. In a strategic move, Google has also updated its personalized ads policy in India, allowing certified advertisers to personalize app campaigns for skill games, while excluding gambling from this category. Meanwhile, Google co-founder Sergey Brin has urged employees to return to the office to enhance productivity in developing artificial general intelligence, specifically targeting those working on the Gemini AI models. Additionally, Google has launched a public preview of its free AI-coding assistant, Gemini Code Assist, aimed at making AI tools more accessible to individual developers. In the realm of AI, Anthropic, backed by Google and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), introduced its advanced Claude 3.7 Sonnet model, which features hybrid reasoning capabilities. Despite the advanced features, Anthropic maintains a competitive pricing structure compared to rivals like OpenAI. These developments highlight Google’s ongoing efforts to expand its influence in cloud services and artificial intelligence.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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