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UBS upgrades Coloplast stock to neutral on reset expectations

Published 11/12/2024, 10:36
UBS upgrades Coloplast stock to neutral on reset expectations
CLPBY
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On Wednesday, UBS analyst changed the rating for Coloplast (CSE:COLOb) A/S (COLOB:DC) (OTC: CLPBY) from Sell to Neutral, maintaining a price target of DKK858.00. The revision follows a reassessment of the company's position in the market, with expectations now believed to be more accurately reflected in its current valuation. The $26.32 billion healthcare equipment company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 37.28, according to InvestingPro data.

Coloplast, a company specializing in medical devices and services, was previously rated as Sell by UBS due to anticipated pressures on its revenue streams. These pressures were expected to arise from competitive challenges in the Ostomy and Urology sectors and increased investment demands for wound biologics and continence care.

Despite these challenges, InvestingPro data shows the company has maintained dividend payments for 32 consecutive years, demonstrating financial resilience. The analyst pointed out that these factors were not accounted for in the company's premium over the sector, which was then at 55% compared to the historical average of 40%.

However, current evaluations suggest a shift in the market's outlook. The analyst noted that sell-side estimates for 2025 and buy-side consensus, informed by investor feedback, may have overestimated potential reimbursement tailwinds for Coloplast. With a recalibration of these expectations, the company's shares now trade at approximately a 40% sector premium, aligning with the historical average.

Recent data shows solid revenue growth of 10.33% and an overall "GOOD" Financial Health Score, as reported by InvestingPro, which offers 10+ additional insights about Coloplast's financial performance.

The analyst's decision to upgrade the rating to Neutral is based on this realignment of expectations with the company's valuation. Despite the competitive and investment challenges identified, the unchanged price target of DKK858 indicates a neutral stance on Coloplast's financial outlook moving forward.

In other recent news, Coloplast A/S has been the focus of several analyst adjustments. Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) initiated coverage on Coloplast with a Buy rating, highlighting the company's strong market leadership and growth, particularly in areas such as Ostomy, Continence and Wound Care, and Interventional Urology. The firm projects an 8% sales compound annual growth rate (CAGR) and a 14% adjusted earnings per share (EPS) CAGR from fiscal year 2024 to 2029.

However, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) downgraded Coloplast from Equalweight to Underweight due to concerns over EPS downside risk and a high valuation. The firm also reduced the price target to DKK813.00 and expects Coloplast's fiscal year 2025 EBIT and EPS to be 4% and 7% below the consensus, respectively.

UBS also downgraded Coloplast from Neutral to Sell, despite projecting an 8% revenue and 11% EPS CAGR from 2024 to 2028, citing potential challenges and a valuation at a 55% premium compared to the sector. Citi maintained its Neutral rating for Coloplast, noting a slight outperformance in the Advanced Wound Care segment and a shortfall in the Interventional Urology division.

In contrast, Barclays (LON:BARC) upgraded Coloplast from Equalweight to Overweight, expressing optimism about the company's growth prospects and financial performance. They anticipate a growth acceleration to around 9% and improvements in margins and returns.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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