Wall Street divided on Netflix stock—Raymond James sees solid fundamentals but fair value

Published 22/01/2025, 09:24
Wall Street divided on Netflix stock—Raymond James sees solid fundamentals but fair value

Wednesday, Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) stock remained steady at $869.68 as Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James upheld a Market Perform rating, reflecting a positive response to the company's strong fourth-quarter performance.

Netflix's recent report showcased a significant surge in member additions, surpassing expectations and contributing to revenue growth of 14.8%, albeit slightly impacted by a stronger U.S. dollar.

According to InvestingPro data, the streaming giant's impressive performance has driven a 79% return over the past year, making it a prominent player in the entertainment industry.

The fourth quarter echoed the heights of Netflix's pandemic-era success, with notable advancements in several areas, including live events, advertising, and profit margins. Despite live events like the Paul/Tyson fight and NFL games not being the main drivers of membership growth, management acknowledged their success and anticipates more in the future, such as the Women's World Cups in 2027 and 2031. With a market capitalization of $372.51 billion and a "GREAT" financial health score from InvestingPro, Netflix continues to demonstrate strong operational execution.

Netflix's advertising business is on track, with over half of new members in the 12 markets opting for the ad-supported tier. A transition to in-house advertising technology in the U.S. is expected in April. Looking forward, the company's projections for fiscal year 2025 are above analyst estimates, even with foreign exchange headwinds. Netflix is gaining both price and engagement share while slightly increasing content expenditure.

Despite these positive developments, Raymond James sustains the Market Perform rating due to the high expectations already factored into the stock price. After-hours trading indicates that shares are fairly priced at nearly 10 times the 2025 estimated enterprise value to revenue, with a current P/E ratio of 48.02. Based on InvestingPro's Fair Value analysis, Netflix appears to be trading above its intrinsic value.

The firm's stance reflects a cautious optimism, acknowledging Netflix's fundamental strengths while also considering the market's anticipatory valuation. For deeper insights into Netflix's valuation and 16 additional ProTips, explore the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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