Weibo retains hold stock rating amid ad growth concerns

Published 20/11/2024, 14:46
Weibo retains hold stock rating amid ad growth concerns

On Wednesday, Benchmark maintained its Hold rating on Weibo Corp (NASDAQ:WB) shares, following the company's third-quarter financial results. Weibo reported higher-than-anticipated revenue for the third quarter, propelled by robust brand advertising spending. The Summer Olympics played a significant role, particularly amplifying ad budgets in the food and beverage sector, which in turn bolstered Weibo's revenue growth.

Despite the positive outcome in the third quarter, Benchmark anticipates challenges ahead for Weibo. The firm has adjusted its fourth-quarter revenue forecast for Weibo, projecting a 5% year-over-year decline. This revision comes after initially expecting revenue to remain stable.

The forecasted downturn is attributed to a pull-forward effect from the third quarter, which is likely to dampen growth in the fourth quarter. Moreover, a slowdown in advertising growth within the gaming sector is identified as another potential obstacle for Weibo.

Looking into the future, the analyst from Benchmark projects that brand advertising growth for Weibo may continue to face hurdles into the fiscal year 2025. A significant rebound is contingent on a broad macroeconomic recovery that extends beyond the consumer electronics sector, which is currently benefiting from an ongoing trade-in program. Without such a recovery, advertising growth is expected to be moderate.

The competitive landscape also poses a challenge for Weibo, as intense rivalry in the advertising space is likely to persist. The company's ability to gain market share is deemed uncertain amidst these competitive pressures. Consequently, Benchmark has reiterated its Hold rating on Weibo shares, signaling caution regarding the company's growth prospects in the advertising market.

In other recent news, Weibo Corporation reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that outperformed analyst expectations. The social media company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.53, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.44.

Revenue was recorded at $464.5 million, exceeding expectations of $436.96 million, marking a 5% year-over-year increase. The firm's advertising and marketing revenues grew 2% year-over-year to $398.6 million, while value-added services revenue saw a significant 25% increase to $65.9 million.

Jefferies, a financial services company, raised its price target on Weibo to $10.90, maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. Weibo's recent developments include advancements in artificial intelligence, with the filing for large language models and increased efficiencies with several AI applications. The company also reported double-digit growth in its Value-Added Services segment, driven by membership growth.

Weibo's management expressed cautious optimism about advertising growth, not expecting a V-shaped recovery. The electronics category is expected to benefit from trade-in programs in the fourth quarter, with potential expansion into other categories such as decorations and indoor designs. These recent developments are part of Weibo's strategic outlook as the company continues to innovate and expand.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on Weibo Corp's financial position and market performance. Despite the challenges highlighted in Benchmark's analysis, Weibo maintains impressive gross profit margins, with the latest data showing a gross profit margin of 78.68% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This aligns with one of the InvestingPro Tips, which notes Weibo's "impressive gross profit margins."

The company's valuation metrics also present an interesting picture. With a P/E ratio of 6.6 and a price-to-book ratio of 0.66, Weibo appears to be trading at relatively low multiples. This is corroborated by InvestingPro Tips indicating that Weibo is "trading at a low earnings multiple" and "trading at a low revenue valuation multiple."

Despite the cautious outlook presented in the article, it's worth noting that Weibo has shown a significant return over the last week, with a 10.5% price total return. Additionally, the company has demonstrated a strong return over the last three months, with a 16.03% price total return.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Weibo Corp, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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