Wells Fargo initiates coverage on ArcelorMittal stock with Equal Weight rating

Published 14/08/2025, 11:30
Wells Fargo initiates coverage on ArcelorMittal stock with Equal Weight rating

Investing.com - Wells Fargo initiated coverage on ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT) with an Equal Weight rating and a price target of $33.00 on Thursday. The steel giant, currently trading at $33.98 with a market capitalization of $25.8 billion, has demonstrated strong momentum with a 48% gain year-to-date.

The investment bank set its price target using a 4.5x 2026E EV/EBITDA multiple, which sits above the steelmaker’s five-year average of 3.9x and ten-year average of 4.3x. According to InvestingPro analysis, ArcelorMittal currently trades at an EV/EBITDA of 5.39x and appears undervalued based on its Fair Value assessment.

Wells Fargo noted that ArcelorMittal could benefit from several potential positives, including possible tariff relief and greater protectionism outside the United States, which could boost 2026 estimates after what is expected to be a challenging start to 2025.

The firm indicated that market conditions appear to have hit bottom in key European and Brazilian markets where ArcelorMittal operates, suggesting a potential recovery ahead.

Despite these positive indicators, Wells Fargo cautioned that the timing and magnitude of these catalysts are difficult to forecast, and the firm expects a lag before any positive developments materialize.

In other recent news, ArcelorMittal is engaged in discussions with the South African government about the potential closure of its Newcastle steel mill. This facility has been unprofitable, prompting talks involving the country’s trade department and the Industrial Development Corporation. On the financial front, Barclays has downgraded ArcelorMittal’s stock rating from Overweight to Equalweight, suggesting that the recent 41% rally in shares has already factored in the company’s positive outlook. KeyBanc has maintained its Sector Weight rating for ArcelorMittal, while increasing its 2025 earnings per share estimate due to favorable foreign exchange impacts. Deutsche Bank has raised its price target for ArcelorMittal to EUR31.00, maintaining a Buy rating and anticipating improved Q2 results despite tariff challenges. Additionally, S&P Global Ratings has upgraded ArcelorMittal’s credit rating to ’BBB/A-2’, citing enhanced business performance and strategic growth projects. These developments reflect a mix of challenges and strategic advancements for ArcelorMittal in the current market environment.

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