Wolfe Research upgrades Cummins stock rating to Outperform on margin strength

Published 11/08/2025, 12:04
Wolfe Research upgrades Cummins stock rating to Outperform on margin strength

Investing.com - Wolfe Research upgraded Cummins (NYSE:CMI) from Peerperform to Outperform on Monday, setting a price target of $480.00. The stock, currently trading near its 52-week high with a market capitalization of $53.33 billion, has demonstrated strong momentum with a 34.5% return over the past year.

The research firm cited Cummins’ structurally higher margins and earnings potential as key factors supporting the upgrade, despite ongoing pressure in the company’s Engine segment due to weakness in the Class 8 truck market.

Wolfe Research noted that Cummins is currently trading at 17 times calendar year 2025 earnings estimates, 16 times 2026 estimates, and 13 times 2027 estimates, compared to the company’s 5-year and 10-year average forward P/E multiples of 14x.

The firm highlighted Cummins’ mid-to-high-single-digit data center contribution and structurally improved EBITDA margins in the high-teens range, up from mid-teens in 2019 despite current challenging truck market conditions.

Despite cyclical headwinds expected in the second half of the year, Wolfe Research sees "a long runway for EPS growth over the next few years with potential for re-rating longer term," making Cummins’ valuation "quite attractive" relative to comparable multi-industrial companies trading above 20x P/E ratios.

In other recent news, Cummins reported impressive second-quarter earnings for 2025, with earnings per share reaching $6.43, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $5.26. The company’s revenue also exceeded forecasts, coming in at $8.6 billion compared to the anticipated $8.47 billion. Despite these strong results, Cummins has not reinstated its full-year guidance due to uncertainties in macroeconomic conditions, freight, and tariffs. In response to the earnings report, Bernstein SocGen Group raised its price target for Cummins to $385 from $319, while maintaining a Market Perform rating. These developments reflect investor confidence in the company’s performance and future outlook.

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