Zillow Group stock target lifted, rating held on growth potential

Published 14/01/2025, 16:46
Zillow Group stock target lifted, rating held on growth potential

On Tuesday, Bernstein analysts increased the price target for Zillow Group (NASDAQ:ZG) shares from $60.00 to $65.00, while maintaining a Market Perform rating on the company's stock. The adjustment comes as a response to improved EBITDA forecasts and a growing confidence in Zillow's strategic direction and growth potential.

The analysts have revised their valuation model to reflect a lower Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC), now at 11% compared to the previous 12%. This change is based on Zillow's better-than-expected EBITDA run-rate and a reassessment of the company's strategic execution. Bernstein's approach also now assumes a multiple of 25 times the expected EV/2026 Adjusted EBITDA, an increase from the prior multiple of 23 times.

Despite the positive adjustment in the price target, Bernstein analysts express difficulty in finding upside potential to Zillow's current stock price, citing valuation challenges.

The analysts recognize Zillow's solid execution and anticipate the company will continue to gain market share in the residential sector throughout the year. However, they question whether the momentum Zillow has shown in the second half of 2024 can be sustained or if the company's performance will realign with broader industry trends.

The revisions to EBITDA expectations are modest, at approximately 3%, and are primarily driven by slightly better assumptions regarding expense growth, which have been informed by recent financial reports and EBITDA outperformance by Zillow. This reassessment by Bernstein reflects a cautiously optimistic view of Zillow's financial trajectory and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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