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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares edge higher, eyes turn to Fed

Published 29/10/2019, 04:02
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares edge higher, eyes turn to Fed
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Nikkei hits one-year high as S&P 500 reaches record

* Trump talks up progress on China trade

* EU grants UK three-month Brexit extension

* Market sees Fed cutting rates, cautious on outlook

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, Oct 29 (Reuters) - Asian shares rose to a

three-month peak on Tuesday after Wall Street hit all-time highs

amid hopes of progress in Sino-U.S. trade talks and for another

dose of policy stimulus from the Federal Reserve this week.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 led the way with a rise of 0.5% to

reach ground last trod a full year ago, while Shanghai blue

chips .CSI300 dithered either side of flat.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS crept up 0.2% to its highest since late July.

E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 extended their gains

by 0.1% and EUROSTOXX 50 futures STXEc1 held steady.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday he expected to

sign a significant part of the trade deal with China ahead of

schedule but did not elaborate on the timing. The U.S. trade representative also said they were studying

whether to extend tariff suspensions on $34 billion of Chinese

goods set to expire on Dec. 28 this year. "The market appears to be interpreting the improvement in

trade talks as a positive sign that the U.S. will suspend its

planned tariffs on $160 billion of Chinese imports due to take

place in December," said Rodrigo Catril, a senior FX strategist

at National Australia Bank.

"This is a big assumption as talks could easily fail again

if both parties don't find a compromise."

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.56% to score a

record closing peak, while the Dow .DJI rose 0.49% and the

Nasdaq .IXIC 1.01%. .N

Microsoft Corp MSFT.O climbed 2.46% after winning the

Pentagon's $10 billion cloud computing contract, beating out

Amazon.com Inc AMZN.O . Google parent Alphabet Inc GOOGL.O slipped in late NY

trade after missing analysts' estimates for quarterly profit

even though revenue growth topped expectations. ON THE FED

The embrace of risk left bonds out in the cold, and yields

on two-year Treasury notes US2YT=TWEB hit four-week highs at

1.667%. US/

Bond investors are still looking forward to a likely rate

cut from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, though they also

suspect officials might sound cautious on moving yet further.

"Some/many Fed participants may think/hope that the October

cut will be the last of this cycle," Michelle Girard,

chief U.S. economist at NatWest Markets, said in a report.

"However, we expect weaker data over the coming months and

quarters will force the Fed to lower rates further. We look for

rate cuts in October, December, March, and June, dropping the

fed funds target range to 0.75%-1.00% by the middle of 2020."

That view is even more aggressive than the futures market,

which has 50 basis points of cuts priced in by June FEDWATCH .

Central banks in Japan and Canada also meet this week, with

talk the former might ease further if only to prevent an

export-sapping bounce in its currency.

The shift from safe havens was working to weaken the yen.

The dollar was firm at 108.98 yen JPY= , having reached its

highest in three months, and was eyeing a major top at 109.31.

It fared less well on the euro, which edged up to $1.1097

EUR= , and eased back on a basket of currencies to 97.753

.DXY .

Sterling firmed after the European Union agreed to a Brexit

delay of up to three months, while Prime Minister Boris Johnson

lost a vote to force an election on Dec. 12. The pound was last at $1.2848 GBP= , well above its low for

the month at $1.2193.

Spot gold slipped back to $1,492.21 per ounce XAU= , and

away from last week's top around $1,517.

Oil prices wee pressured by signs of rising U.S. crude

stockpiles. O/R

Brent crude LCOc1 futures dipped 1 cent to $61.56, while

U.S. crude CLc1 lost 10 cents to $55.71 a barrel.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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(Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

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