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Oil bounces from multi-year lows as hopes of OPEC+ cut, stimulus offset virus impact

Published 02/03/2020, 02:10
Updated 02/03/2020, 02:18
© Reuters.  Oil bounces from multi-year lows as hopes of OPEC+ cut, stimulus offset virus impact
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* Some OPEC members mull additional 1 mln bpd output cut

* Central banks expected to cut interest rates, support

markets

* Brent crude hits lowest since July 2017

* WTI touches Dec 2018 low

By Florence Tan

SINGAPORE, March 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices pared losses after

earlier hitting multi-year lows on Monday as hopes that a bigger

than expected production cut from OPEC and stimulus from central

banks could offset economic gloom from the coronavirus outbreak.

Brent crude LCOc1 was at $50.32 a barrel, up 65 cents, or

1.3%, by 0105 GMT, after earlier dropping to $48.40, the lowest

since July 2017.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 hit a 14-month low

of $43.32 a barrel, before recovering to $45.23, up 47 cents, or

1.1%.

Flight cancellations and travel bans by countries worldwide

sparked fears about the global economy, leading to the biggest

weekly stock market rout since the 2008 financial crisis last

week. China's factory activity also shrunk at the fastest pace

ever in February, underscoring the colossal damage from the

coronavirus outbreak on the world's second-largest economy.

"On the one hand, it's pretty negative on worldwide crude

oil and product demand," said Lachlan Shaw, head of commodity

research at the National Australia Bank.

On the other hand, there was news Saudi Arabia was pushing

for a million barrels per day cut to be agreed this week, while

central banks globally were increasingly signalling an appetite

to intervene and support markets by cutting interest rates, he

said.

"So it's a balance and it's going to be pretty volatile."

Several key members of the Organization of the Petroleum

Exporting Countries (OPEC) are mulling an additional production

cut of 1 million barrels per day, more than the 600,000 bpd

proposed last month, on growing fears that the virus outbreak

will hit oil demand badly. OPEC and its allies including Russia, a grouping known as

OPEC+, have already been curbing oil output by 1.7 million bpd

under a deal that runs to the end of March.

"Current prices do not work for most of the OPEC+ group as

they stand and Russia is not as price agnostic as it endeavours

to seem," said Helima Croft global head of commodity strategy at

RBC Capital Markets.

"We think Saudi Arabia will likely be able to rally the rest

of the producers for a cut of at least 1+ million bpd."

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