Oil prices rise 4% after biggest one-day fall since 1991

Published 10/03/2020, 01:40
Updated 10/03/2020, 01:45
© Reuters.  Oil prices rise 4% after biggest one-day fall since 1991
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* Saudi says it will lift output in fight for market share

* Russia says it can withstand low oil price for six to 10

years

* Oil unlikely to quickly regain 25% losses - analysts

By Jessica Jaganathan

SINGAPORE, March 10 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose by more than

$1 on Tuesday after a price war by top producers Saudi Arabia

and Russia sparked the biggest daily rout since the 1991 Gulf

War, but investors saw little chance of a quick price recovery

as the coronavirus cuts demand.

Saudi Arabia and Russia both said they would raise

production at the weekend after a three-year pact between them

and other major oil producers to limit supply fell apart on

Friday.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose $1.41, or 4.1%, to $35.77 a

barrel by 0034 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI)

crude CLc1 gained $1.25, or 4%, to $32.38 a barrel following

declines of nearly 25 percent on Monday.

Both benchmarks dropped to their lowest since February 2016

in the previous session and recorded their biggest one-day

percentage declines since Jan. 17, 1991, when oil prices fell at

the outset of the U.S. Gulf War.

Trading volumes in the front-month for both contracts hit

record highs in the previous session.

But analysts do not expect oil prices to regain the nearly

25% slump from Friday's close as the coronavirus outbreak cuts

demand.

"Oil prices rarely stay below the marginal cash cost of

supply. But with the anticipated inventory build in (the first

half) we struggle to find conviction in a snap back for oil,"

analysts from Bernstein Energy said in a note.

Energy stock prices have also fallen sharply, and shale

producers began cutting spending in anticipation of lower

revenues. Exxon shares lost more than 12%, the largest one-day

percentage loss since Oct. 15, 2008, the height of the financial

crisis. Chevron's shares fell more than 15%, the biggest loss

since the October 1987 "Black Monday" market crash.

Saudi Arabia plans to boost its crude output above 10

million barrels per day (bpd) in April from 9.7 million bpd in

recent months, two sources told Reuters on Sunday. The kingdom

slashed its export prices at the weekend to encourage refiners

to buy more. Russia, one of the world's top producers alongside Saudi

Arabia and the United States, also said it could lift output and

that it could cope with low oil prices for six to 10 years.

One the demand side, the International Energy Agency said

oil demand was set to contract in 2020 for the first time since

2009. The agency cut its annual forecast and said that demand

would contract by 90,000 bpd in 2020 from 2019.

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