Oil prices steady but set for weekly gain on supply cut optimism

Published 14/02/2020, 03:40
© Reuters. Oil prices steady but set for weekly gain on supply cut optimism
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By Roslan Khasawneh

SINGAPORE, Feb 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices were steady on

Friday but are set for their first weekly gain in six weeks on

the assumption major producers will implement deeper output cuts

to offset slowing demand in China, the world's second-largest

crude user.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 fell 9 cents to $56.25 a barrel

by 0234 GMT, after gaining 1% the previous session. Brent is

3.3% higher for the week, the first increase since the week of

Jan. 10.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures CLc1 were down

by 1 cent to $51.41 a barrel. The contract rose 0.5% on Thursday

and is now 2.2% higher for the week.

Crude prices have plunged about 20% from their 2020-peaks on

Jan. 8 as oversupply concerns combined with worries about large

fuel demand declines in China as the country's quarantine to

fight a coronavirus outbreak has halted economic activity.

However, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting

Countries and its allied producers, known as OPEC+, are

considering cutting output by up to 2.3 million barrels per day

in response to the demand slump.

But other analysts caution the demand impact is only limited

to China so far.

"The spread of the coronavirus remains extremely fluid and

while market sentiment is held at the mercy of each passing

coronavirus headline, our baseline thesis remains that oil

demand destruction remains largely a China story and has yet to

spill over to impact global demand," said Helima Croft, head of

commodity strategy at Citadel Magnus.

The market is signalling that some near-term demand for oil

remains. The spread between the first-month April Brent future

and the May contract has narrowed to a discount of only 1 cent a

barrel on Friday from a discount of 33 cents a week ago.

LCOc1-LCOc2

The narrowing of this contango, when prompt prices are less

than later-dated contracts, suggest that demand for oil is

improving for Brent-related crude.

Still, some concern remains about the impact the Chinese

demand slowdown may have.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Thursday said that

first quarter 2020 oil demand is set to fall versus a year

earlier for the first time since the financial crisis in 2009

because of the coronavirus outbreak in China. The Chinese economy is expected to grow at its slowest rate

since the financial crisis in the current quarter, according to

a Reuters poll of economists who said the downturn will be

short-lived if the outbreak is contained.

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