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Citi lifts DTE Energy target to $142 on Ford project progress

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 28/10/2024, 21:30
DTE
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On Monday, Citi raised the price target for DTE Energy (NYSE:DTE) shares to $142 from the previous target of $132, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment follows the energy company's progress with its Vantage project, which is on track for completion in the fourth quarter. This project includes a total of 800 megawatts (MW) from six solar parks, three of which are already operational, to support Ford (NYSE:F)'s manufacturing plant.

The upcoming solar facilities are backed by a long-term fixed fee contract and are expected to be fully operational in November. These solar parks are designed to generate Investment Tax Credits (ITCs) for DTE Energy in the quarter.

Despite Ford's delay in electric vehicle (EV) production at its BlueOval City plant to 2027, DTE Energy's position remains secure due to power purchase agreements (PPAs) with Ford that contain "take or pay" provisions, ensuring consistent revenue.

Furthermore, the energy company has the flexibility to redirect power to other industrial clients within the Tennessee area if necessary. DTE Energy's third-quarter financial performance was robust, with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.22, surpassing both Citi's and Wall Street's expectations. The positive results were attributed to higher electric rates, favorable weather conditions, and tax timing, which is expected to reverse around $40 million in the fourth quarter, despite facing increased costs.

Citi has updated its estimates to reflect DTE Energy's revised guidance and has set the new price target based on a 20.0x price-to-earnings (PE) multiple. The firm's analysis indicates confidence in the company's financial prospects and operational developments.

In other recent news, DTE Energy has launched the Sauk Solar park, Michigan's largest solar installation, with the capacity to supply clean energy to around 40,000 homes. This development is part of DTE's CleanVision MIGreenPower program and signifies the company's commitment to expanding its renewable energy portfolio. The Sauk Solar park, equipped with nearly 347,000 solar panels, is the first of six new solar parks DTE plans to introduce.

Moreover, DTE Energy reported solid operational and financial performance for the third quarter of 2024. The company's operating earnings stood at $460 million, marking a significant increase in DTE Electric earnings. Despite a slight decline in DTE Gas earnings due to higher operational costs, the company remains on track to meet its operating EPS guidance for 2024.

Analysts have noted DTE Energy's robust pipeline of projects and plans to invest over $9 billion in the next five years, primarily focusing on customer affordability and service reliability. The company is also targeting a long-term EPS growth rate of 6% to 8%.

InvestingPro Insights

DTE Energy's recent performance and strategic initiatives align with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market cap stands at $26.24 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the energy sector. DTE's P/E ratio of 17.17 suggests a reasonable valuation, especially considering its growth prospects highlighted by Citi's upgraded price target.

An InvestingPro Tip notes that DTE is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, which supports Citi's bullish stance. This is further reinforced by the PEG ratio of 0.79, indicating potential undervaluation relative to growth expectations.

Despite some analysts revising earnings downwards for the upcoming period, DTE has demonstrated resilience with a 35.36% total return over the past year. The company's commitment to shareholder value is evident in its 54-year streak of maintaining dividend payments, with a current dividend yield of 3.22%.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for DTE Energy, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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