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Citi reaffirmed its Neutral rating on DT Midstream (NYSE:DTM), maintaining a $76.00 price target for the company's stock. The firm's outlook comes with an expectation that DT Midstream's third-quarter EBITDA will surpass the average analyst estimate, projecting $240 million compared to the Street's $236 million forecast. The company is anticipated to reach the upper end of its EBITDA guidance range between $930 million and $980 million for the year, with an update on this target likely within the current quarter.
The company's third-quarter performance was buoyed by a one-time $10 million environmental remediation benefit, which more than compensated for the full quarter impact of the LEAP Phase 3 benefit. DT Midstream is also expected to see a volume rebound in the fourth quarter as gas prices improve, prompting increased producer activity. This aligns with the company's provided guidance.
Looking ahead, DT Midstream has several projects that may be approved, particularly the LEAP Phase 4 expansion, which is projected for a 2025/2026 service commencement. Progress is also indicated in the commercialization of a data center project, although formal Final Investment Decisions (FIDs) might still be premature. Any significant new capital expenditures for projects are likely to be slated for 2025 or beyond, given the current stage of the year.
Regarding regulatory matters, Citi does not foresee a substantial update on the section 5 rate case filed against Vector by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). The potential impact on DT Midstream's EBITDA is minimal, as less than 1% is considered at risk.
DT Midstream secured a $420 million distribution from a private placement of senior unsecured notes by Millennium Pipeline Intermediate Holdings. This financial move is part of the company's broader strategy to strengthen its financial position and ensure the efficient operation of its extensive natural gas transmission network.
DT Midstream reported a strong Q2 2024 with an adjusted EBITDA of $248 million and reaffirmed its guidance for the year. Analysts from Citi have updated their outlook on DT Midstream, raising the stock's target from $62.00 to $76.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating.
DT Midstream has also been making significant strides with its strategic initiatives. The company completed the LEAP Phase 3 expansion ahead of schedule and initiated several projects to enhance their infrastructure and commitment to clean energy. Confidentiality agreements indicate potential announcements of new data center projects in the near future.
InvestingPro Insights
DT Midstream's financial metrics and market performance align with Citi's neutral stance. According to InvestingPro data, the company's market capitalization stands at $7.66 billion, with a P/E ratio of 18.85, suggesting a moderate valuation relative to earnings. The company's revenue growth of 4.34% over the last twelve months and a robust operating income margin of 51.66% indicate steady operational performance, supporting Citi's expectation of strong EBITDA results.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that DT Midstream has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 3.73%. This consistent dividend growth, coupled with a 59.87% price total return over the past year, underscores the company's ability to deliver shareholder value. The stock is trading near its 52-week high, which aligns with Citi's maintained price target of $76.00.
For investors seeking a deeper understanding of DT Midstream's potential, InvestingPro offers 9 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position.
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