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Citi sets stock target and buy rating on Capital One, cites tech advantage

Published 20/09/2024, 15:32
Citi sets stock target and buy rating on Capital One, cites tech advantage
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On Friday, Citi began its coverage of Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF) shares with a positive outlook, assigning the stock a Buy rating and setting a price target of $190.00. The firm highlighted Capital One's position as a leading financial services company in the United States, particularly emphasizing its technological edge in the credit card sector, which is noted as one of the most profitable segments in banking.

The analyst from Citi pointed out that Capital One's mid-teens return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) may not fully reflect the company's actual profitability. This perspective is based on the current high levels of technology investment, which are believed to be a temporary factor. The firm suggests that this investment is a strategic move that will pay off in the long term, especially with the potential acquisition of Discover.

Citi's stance is that the market has significantly undervalued Capital One's stock when considering the future ROTCE potential. The analyst anticipates that the successful acquisition of Discover could serve as a catalyst for positive earnings per share (EPS) revisions.

The coverage initiation on Capital One comes with the belief that the current valuation does not align with the company's growth prospects. Citi's analysis indicates that once the ongoing investments in technology begin to yield results, and assuming the Discover acquisition is completed, there could be a notable upside to Capital One's financial performance.

This bullish view on Capital One is grounded in the firm's assessment of the company's strategic investments and potential market opportunities. The $190 price target reflects Citi's confidence in Capital One's ability to leverage its technology leadership to achieve higher profitability and deliver value to shareholders.

In other recent news, Capital One Financial Corp (NYSE:COF) reported significant strides in its business operations. The company disclosed key financial metrics, including Q2 earnings of $597 million and an adjusted earnings per share of $3.14. Capital One also successfully closed a $2 billion public offering of Fixed-to-Floating Rate Senior Notes due in 2030 and 2035. These are recent developments that reflect the company's strategic approach in the financial landscape.

BofA Securities maintained a Buy rating on Capital One's stock, raising the price target to $161 from $158 following the company's Q2 results. This rating adjustment follows the company's robust quarterly performance.

Capital One is also in the process of acquiring Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS). The merger, expected to be completed between late 2024 and early 2025, is a significant move in the company's expansion strategy.

In terms of financial health, Capital One has allocated a substantial provision of $3.9 billion for credit losses and reports a common equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 13.2%. Despite a decrease in liquidity reserves to $123 billion, the company remains optimistic about its operations and expects a modest decrease in the operating efficiency ratio for 2024.

Lastly, the company disclosed its monthly credit card charge-off and delinquency statistics, providing insights into consumer credit behavior and the financial health of the credit card portfolio.


InvestingPro Insights


Capital One Financial's (NYSE:COF) current market dynamics and analyst outlooks are complemented by insights from InvestingPro. With a market capitalization of $58.4 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.3, Capital One reflects a balance between value and growth potential. The InvestingPro data also shows a robust operating income margin of 21.0% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, which supports the company's efficient management and profitability.

From the InvestingPro Tips, it's notable that Capital One is recognized for its strong free cash flow yield, which is an attractive feature for investors seeking companies with the capacity to generate cash. Moreover, the company has a commendable track record of maintaining dividend payments for 30 consecutive years, offering a dividend yield of 1.65%, which can appeal to income-focused investors. The company's position as a prominent player in the Consumer Finance industry, coupled with analysts' predictions of profitability this year, suggests a solid foundation for future growth.

Capital One's stock is trading near its 52-week high, at 99.73% of this peak, reflecting the market's current positive sentiment. The InvestingPro platform, which provides additional insights, lists more tips that can help investors make informed decisions. For further detailed analysis and tips, investors can visit InvestingPro at: https://www.investing.com/pro/COF

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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