Craig-Hallum cuts Vivid Seats shares target, retains Buy rating

Published 10/09/2024, 14:36
Craig-Hallum cuts Vivid Seats shares target, retains Buy rating

Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ: SEAT) experienced a revision in its stock outlook by Craig-Hallum. The firm's analyst adjusted the price target to $8.00, down from the previous $10.00, but maintained a Buy rating on the company's shares.


The analyst's decision reflects a cautious stance for the third quarter based on recent third-party data suggesting a significant slowdown in the concert segment.


The analyst noted that the concert industry is facing increased supply challenges, particularly in August, compounded by difficult comparisons with previous high-profile events such as concerts by Taylor Swift and Beyoncé.


This has resulted in a quarter-over-quarter decline in the gross order value (GOV) for concert-specific events of approximately 20% through August.


Despite the near-term headwinds, the analyst remains optimistic about the overall consumer demand for live events. Evidence of strong interest in the NFL, College Football, and early NBA sales was cited as an indication that the drop in demand is limited to the concert segment.


The analyst anticipates a recovery in growth as the concert industry shifts back to stadium venues in the fiscal year 2025, with pre-sales expected to start in the fourth quarter of 2024.


The long-term outlook for Vivid Seats remains unchanged according to the analyst, who highlighted the company's strong position in the secondary market. Vivid Seats is recognized for maintaining profitability through an increased take rate and efficient promotions, as well as for growing its repeat user base.


In other recent news, Vivid Seats Inc. has been navigating a challenging year, with analysts from Benchmark, Canaccord Genuity, RBC Capital, and DA Davidson adjusting their price targets for the company.


Despite a lukewarm response to a $10 million investment in international expansion and a series of event cancellations, the online ticket marketplace reported robust Q1 2024 financial results, with over $1 billion in Gross Order Value (GOV), $191 million in revenues, and $39 million in adjusted EBITDA.


A noteworthy milestone was a women's sports team topping sales on their platform for the first time. Furthermore, Vivid Seats announced a multi-year media collaboration with I Am Athlete (IAA), set to produce exclusive content and offer fans unique engagement opportunities.


However, the company's GOV fell short of market expectations, prompting a reduction in its GOV outlook for 2024. Despite these challenges, the firm anticipates an acceleration in marketplace GOV growth in Q4 2024.


InvestingPro Insights


Following the recent analyst revision, a closer look at Vivid Seats Inc. (NASDAQ:SEAT) through InvestingPro's real-time data and insights provides additional context for investors. The company's market capitalization stands at a robust $625.01 million, and it operates with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.68. This P/E ratio has remained relatively stable in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, with a slight increase to 15.88.


InvestingPro Tips highlight that Vivid Seats is expected to be profitable this year, and it has shown a strong return over the last month with a 29.51% increase in price total return. This aligns with the analyst's positive long-term view despite the near-term challenges. Additionally, the company's valuation implies a strong free cash flow yield, a key indicator of financial health and investment potential.


While the company does not pay dividends, its profitability over the last twelve months and the anticipation of continued strong free cash flow generation can be appealing to investors focused on growth and cash return metrics. For those interested in a deeper dive, there are over 7 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can further inform investment decisions regarding Vivid Seats Inc.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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