Interpublic stock downgraded amid flat EPS outlook - JPMorgan

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 01/10/2024, 09:56
IPG
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On Tuesday, Interpublic Group (NYSE:IPG) stock was downgraded by JPMorgan from Overweight to Neutral, with a price target adjustment to $33.00 from the previous $36.00. The downgrade follows a series of setbacks in new business and subdued growth forecasts for the company.

The firm has encountered significant client losses in the second half of 2023, impacting its prospects. Notable account departures include high-profile clients such as BMW (ETR:BMWG), Verizon (NYSE:VZ), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), General Motors (NYSE:GM), and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN). These losses have exacerbated the challenges already faced by Interpublic in the technology sector and amongst its digital specialist agencies.

JPMorgan's revised outlook for Interpublic includes a modest contraction of 0.8% in organic growth and a marginal decline in margins of approximately 10 basis points. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to remain flat. These adjustments reflect the reduced optimism towards Interpublic reaching its December 2025 price target, which is based on the assumption that the forward valuation will maintain a steady multiple of 11 times.

The performance of Interpublic in securing new business and achieving organic growth has lagged behind competitors Omnicom and Publicis, prompting investors to raise questions about potential structural issues within the company. In the media segment, management has acknowledged a shift by marketers towards principal buying, a strategy that has seemingly benefited competitors in client reviews, as evidenced by the loss of the BMW account.

This reassessment by JPMorgan indicates a more cautious stance on Interpublic's stock, as the advertising agency navigates through a challenging period marked by client losses and competitive pressures.

In other recent news, Interpublic Group has reported moderate growth in the second quarter, with organic growth before billable expenses at 1.7%, contributing to first-half growth of 1.5%. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.33 per share, signifying its commitment to shareholder returns.

However, UBS downgraded Interpublic Group from Neutral to Sell citing concerns over significant account losses and predicting a downturn in the company's organic growth for 2025.

Interpublic Group has appointed Alex Hesz as the new Chief Strategy Officer, a move aligned with the company's strategic priorities. The company is also exploring merger and acquisition opportunities and considering strategic alternatives for some of its digital agencies. These recent developments reflect Interpublic Group's ongoing strategy to adapt in the dynamic marketing environment.

The company targets approximately 1% organic growth for the full year and aims for an adjusted EBITA margin of 16.6% by 2024. The integration of emerging technologies such as Generative AI and a focus on principal media buying are central to their strategy.

These are among the recent developments for Interpublic Group, which continues to navigate market challenges while capitalizing on strategic growth opportunities.

InvestingPro Insights

Despite the recent downgrade by JPMorgan, InvestingPro data reveals some positive aspects of Interpublic Group's financial health. The company's P/E ratio stands at 11.56, which aligns with JPMorgan's valuation assumptions and suggests the stock may be reasonably priced. Additionally, IPG boasts a dividend yield of 4.17%, which could be attractive to income-focused investors.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that IPG has raised its dividend for 11 consecutive years and maintains a high shareholder yield. These factors may provide some stability for investors during this period of business challenges. The company's perfect Piotroski Score of 9 also indicates strong financial health, which could help IPG navigate through its current setbacks.

It's worth noting that InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for IPG, providing a more comprehensive analysis for investors considering the stock in light of recent developments.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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