Mizuho maintains Outperform rating on CFLT with consistent price target

Published 18/09/2024, 17:56
Mizuho maintains Outperform rating on CFLT with consistent price target

Mizuho Securities has reiterated its Outperform rating on Confluent Inc (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CFLT) with a steady price target of $31.00.

The reaffirmation followed the firm's attendance at Confluent's annual conference, Current, which took place on Tuesday.

The conference spotlighted Confluent's recent acquisition of WarpStream, a strategic move that addresses a previously identified deployment gap. This acquisition is seen as a significant enhancement to Confluent's offerings, as smaller competitors had also been vying to provide solutions in this space.

The analyst from Mizuho highlighted the increasing adoption of data streaming technologies and anticipates this trend to continue rising in the medium-term and beyond. Confluent's platform was described as best-in-class within the data streaming sector.

The firm's analysis suggests that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for managed data stream processing solutions.

Furthermore, the valuation of Confluent was noted as very appealing, with the stock trading at approximately six times the estimated CY25E (Calendar Year 2025 Estimated) revenue. This is considered modest, especially in light of the company's expected growth rate of over 20%. The Outperform rating and $31 price target were thus maintained based on these observations.

In other recent news, Confluent Inc. has been the subject of considerable attention due to its financial performance and strategic changes. The company reported a notable 27% increase in subscription revenue to $225 million and a 40% rise in Confluent Cloud revenue to $117 million. It also added 320 new customers during this period. However, the net revenue retention of 118% fell slightly short of its target range.

In response to these results, several analyst firms have updated their ratings and price targets. DA Davidson maintained a Buy rating, citing Confluent's long-term growth potential and the introduction of new Flink enhancements.

TD Cowen, despite lowering the price target from $34 to $31, retained a Buy rating, attributing the company's subscription revenue growth to new go-to-market strategies. However, Citi, while maintaining a Neutral rating, reduced Confluent's price target to $24, citing concerns for the fourth quarter and the full year.

Additionally, Confluent named Kong Phan as its new Chief Accounting Officer, a move that is expected to bring significant experience to the position. Lastly, Baird initiated coverage on Confluent shares, acknowledging the company's leading position in the managed data streaming service market, but expressed concerns about industry competition.


InvestingPro Insights


As Mizuho Securities maintains a positive stance on Confluent Inc (NASDAQ:CFLT), real-time data from InvestingPro complements this outlook with some key financial metrics. Confluent's market capitalization stands at $6.71 billion, reflecting the scale of the company in the data streaming industry. Despite not being profitable over the last twelve months, analysts predict that the company will turn a profit this year, as per one of the InvestingPro Tips. This aligns with the analyst's confidence in Confluent's growth potential.

InvestingPro Data also shows a robust revenue growth of 26.55% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, which substantiates the company's strong performance and market demand for its data streaming solutions. However, the stock has experienced a significant price decline over the last six months, with a 34.03% drop, suggesting that current valuations might present an attractive entry point for investors, as indicated by the high Price / Book multiple of 7.68.

For those looking to delve deeper into Confluent's financials and future outlook, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics. There are seven more InvestingPro Tips available that can provide investors with a comprehensive analysis of Confluent's financial health and market position. To explore these insights, investors can visit the InvestingPro platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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