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Morgan Stanley lifts Eaton stock price target on growth forecast

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 01/11/2024, 14:48
ETN
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On Friday, Morgan Stanley showed confidence in Eaton Corporation (NYSE:ETN) shares by increasing its price target to $385.00, up from the previous $370.00, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the stock. The adjustment follows Eaton's announcement of a slight downturn in its fourth-quarter organic growth forecast, which was influenced by several temporary setbacks.

The company's third-quarter performance, particularly in the Americas, was a highlight, where it achieved a 14% organic growth rate, surpassing the growth from the second quarter despite challenging comparisons from the previous year. This robust growth in the Americas is expected to continue, with Morgan Stanley projecting low-teens growth for Eaton in 2024.

Contrary to the consensus, which anticipates a deceleration to high-single-digit growth in 2025, Morgan Stanley remains optimistic about Eaton's growth prospects. The firm's analyst cited temporary factors such as a hurricane, an aerospace strike, and automotive industry issues as the causes behind the softer fourth-quarter guidance, but these are seen as short-lived challenges.

Eaton's ability to outperform in the third quarter, even with a tough comparison to the prior year, suggests a strong underlying business momentum. The firm's stance indicates a belief that the market may be underestimating Eaton's growth trajectory in the coming years.

The analyst's commentary underscores the expectation that Eaton will sustain high-single-digit or better organic growth into 2025-26, despite the market's more conservative estimates. This positive outlook from Morgan Stanley reflects a belief in Eaton's resilience and potential for continued strong performance.

In other recent news, Eaton Corporation PLC (NYSE:ETN) has reported impressive financial results in its third-quarter 2024 earnings conference call. The company achieved record adjusted EPS of $2.84 and record segment margins, prompting a raise in its full-year guidance for both metrics. Eaton's Electrical orders rose 12%, with Aerospace orders seeing a 6% increase, contributing to an overall backlog rise of 14%.

Despite a 7% revenue decline in the Vehicle segment and a slight 2% increase in e-mobility sales that resulted in an operating loss, the company's Electrical Americas achieved 14% organic sales growth. The Aerospace segment also posted record sales and operating profit. Eaton's 2024 guidance for organic growth has been raised to 8%-9%, with an adjusted EPS of $10.75-$10.81 expected.

Looking forward, Eaton plans to invest $1.5 billion in capital expenditures, focusing on high-growth areas. The company also expects strong growth across most markets, particularly in data centers and electric vehicles. Eaton's total backlog reached $15.5 billion, with a preliminary outlook for 2025 indicating 6%-8% market growth. These recent developments highlight Eaton's strong performance and promising outlook.

InvestingPro Insights

Eaton Corporation's strong performance and growth prospects highlighted in the article are further supported by recent data and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $132.0 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Electrical Equipment industry.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Eaton has raised its dividend for 15 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns that aligns with its robust financial performance. This is particularly noteworthy given the company's recent 9.3% dividend growth over the last twelve months.

The company's financial health is further underscored by its ability to cover interest payments with its cash flows, and its operation with a moderate level of debt. These factors contribute to Eaton's stability and support Morgan Stanley's optimistic outlook on the company's future growth.

InvestingPro Data shows a strong year-to-date price total return of 39.0% and a remarkable 1-year price total return of 56.44%, indicating significant market confidence in Eaton's performance and prospects. The company's revenue growth of 9.49% over the last twelve months and an EBITDA growth of 20.89% in the same period further validate the positive sentiment expressed in the article.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Eaton's potential, InvestingPro offers 16 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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