Mosaic raises phosphate price guidance amid strong market

Published 06/06/2025, 12:00
Mosaic raises phosphate price guidance amid strong market

TAMPA, FL - The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS), a global leader in phosphate and potash crop nutrients with a market capitalization of $11.57 billion, has updated its financial outlook for the second quarter and full year of 2025, signaling higher phosphate prices and stable potash prices. According to InvestingPro data, the company’s stock is trading near its 52-week high of $37.69, reflecting strong market confidence. The revised guidance reflects robust market conditions, with diammonium phosphate (DAP) prices now expected to range from $650 to $670 per tonne, up from the previous forecast of $635-$655. This positive outlook aligns with InvestingPro analysis, which shows 10 analysts have revised their earnings upward for the upcoming period, with the company maintaining a steady dividend yield of 2.42%.

Phosphate sales volumes for the second quarter are anticipated to be between 1.5 and 1.6 million tonnes, a decrease from the earlier projection of 1.7 to 1.9 million tonnes. Despite this, Mosaic’s Bartow and New Wales facilities in Florida are ramping up production. The Bartow facility is expected to produce over 500,000 tonnes in the second quarter, while New Wales is projected to see a 20% increase from the first quarter. The company is working on installing new gypsum handling systems at New Wales to alleviate production bottlenecks, with the aim of reaching an annual operating rate of 3 million tonnes.

Mosaic’s Riverview facility has extended downtimes to address production bottlenecks, with an expected third-quarter run rate of 1.6 million tonnes annually. In Louisiana, during routine maintenance, additional repairs were identified, leading to prolonged outages and some production losses. The third-quarter target run rate for Louisiana is set at 1.4 million tonnes.

The company reports improved production rates where maintenance has concluded and remains confident in its production plans for the second half of the year, with an anticipated operating rate of 8 million tonnes across its U.S. phosphate assets. The company’s operational efficiency is reflected in its financial performance, with annual revenues of $11.06 billion and a P/E ratio of 31.84, according to InvestingPro, which offers comprehensive analysis through its Pro Research Reports covering 1,400+ top stocks.

Potash sales volumes for the second quarter are projected to remain steady at 2.3-2.5 million tonnes, with full-year production guidance also unchanged at 9.0-9.4 million tonnes.

Mosaic Fertilizantes, the company’s business segment in Brazil, is expected to perform significantly better in the second quarter than in the first, driven by rising prices, stronger distribution margins, continued operating efficiency gains, and favorable foreign exchange movements.

The Mosaic Company is committed to advancing sustainable agriculture through its Mosaic Biosciences platform and provides a single-source supply of phosphate, potash, and biological products for the global agriculture industry.

This financial update is based on a press release statement from The Mosaic Company.

In other recent news, Mosaic Company reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing earnings per share (EPS) expectations with a reported EPS of $0.49, compared to the forecast of $0.4622. However, the company missed revenue projections, reporting $2.62 billion against an anticipated $2.71 billion. Additionally, Mosaic’s stock received an upgrade from RBC Capital, moving from Sector Perform to Outperform, with the price target raised from $30.00 to $40.00. This upgrade reflects RBC Capital’s confidence in Mosaic’s potential growth, driven by tight phosphate markets and strategic operational initiatives.

Mosaic’s strategic plans include increasing phosphate production, reducing potash costs, and expanding distribution volumes in Brazil. These initiatives aim to enhance the company’s financial performance and market position. The company also mentioned the potential monetization of non-core assets as a positive catalyst for future growth. In a separate development, Mosaic’s CEO, Bruce M. Bodine, sold 180,708 shares of the company’s common stock as part of a divorce settlement. Despite this sale, Bodine retains a significant number of unvested equity awards in the company.

These recent developments highlight Mosaic’s efforts to optimize operations and capitalize on market dynamics, while also managing personal and corporate transitions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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