Needham starts coverage on Align shares, sees balanced risk/reward

Published 10/10/2024, 16:00
Needham starts coverage on Align shares, sees balanced risk/reward

On Thursday, Needham, a financial advisory firm, began its coverage on shares of Align Technology (NASDAQ:ALGN) with a Hold rating. The firm recognized Align's potential for long-term earnings per share (EPS) growth and the flexibility provided by its strong balance sheet. Needham anticipates that Align Technology could maintain a revenue growth rate of 6-7% coupled with an EPS increase of over 10%.

The firm's analysis suggests that Align Technology, known for its clear aligner products, could face challenges with the current demand for its offerings. Needham's outlook points to a likely scenario where the consensus estimates for the company's performance in 2025 and 2026 may be overly optimistic, taking into account the ongoing demand constraints for clear aligners.

Align Technology's valuation, according to Needham, currently reflects a balance with the near-term risks and rewards. This assessment implies that the firm does not foresee Align's shares significantly outperforming compared to other companies it covers in the near future.

The Hold rating indicates that Needham advises investors to maintain their current position on Align Technology's shares without making additional investments or divesting at this time. This neutral stance comes as a result of their analysis of the company's growth potential set against the backdrop of current market demand and future expectations.

Investors and market watchers now have Needham's perspective on Align Technology as they consider the company's financial health and market position. Align Technology's stock performance will continue to be observed in relation to the broader market and industry trends.

In other recent news, Align Technology reported significant growth in the second quarter with total revenues of $1,028.5 million, marking a 3.1% sequential increase and a 2.6% rise year-over-year, primarily due to a surge in Clear Aligner volumes.

The company also introduced a discount program for Costco (NASDAQ:COST) members in the United States, offering a $400 discount on Invisalign treatment with participating providers. Piper Sandler and Stifel, financial services firms, maintained positive ratings on Align Technology's shares, despite adjustments to the price target.

In other developments, Align Technology made a $75 million equity investment in Heartland Dental and launched the iTero design suite for 3D printing. Furthermore, the company's Q3 worldwide revenue is projected to range from $980 million to $1 billion, with total revenue growth for fiscal 2024 expected to be up 4% to 6%, as stated by Joe Hogan of Align Technology.

These recent developments highlight Align Technology's commitment to growth and innovation in the face of market challenges. Piper Sandler's survey also indicated Align Technology's Invisalign as the top clear aligner brand among teenagers, suggesting potential for further expansion in this market.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Needham's analysis of Align Technology (NASDAQ:ALGN), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context for investors. As of the last twelve months ending Q2 2024, Align Technology reported a revenue of $3.94 billion, with a modest growth of 5.5%. This aligns with Needham's projection of a 6-7% revenue growth rate, suggesting the company is currently performing within analyst expectations.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Align Technology has been aggressively buying back shares, which could potentially support earnings per share growth—a factor that may contribute to Needham's forecast of over 10% EPS increase. Moreover, the company's P/E ratio of 39.23 indicates that it's trading at a high earnings multiple, which investors should consider in light of Needham's caution about overly optimistic consensus estimates for 2025 and 2026.

It is worth noting that Align Technology has a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, suggesting strong financial health, which supports Needham's observation about the company's strong balance sheet. This financial stability could provide Align with the flexibility to navigate through periods of demand constraints for clear aligners, as mentioned in the analysis.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Align Technology, providing a deeper dive into the company's financial position and market performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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