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Introduction & Market Context
O-I Glass, Inc. (NYSE:OI) reported first-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $0.40, down from $0.45 in the same period last year but exceeding management’s internal projections, according to the company’s Q1 earnings presentation released on April 29, 2025. The glass packaging manufacturer highlighted encouraging demand growth of 4.4% and significant progress on its cost-saving initiatives, despite facing headwinds from lower net pricing.
The company’s shares responded positively to the results, rising 2.63% in aftermarket trading to $12.47, building on a 1.5% gain during the regular session.
Quarterly Performance Highlights
O-I Glass reported that while Q1 2025 adjusted earnings declined year-over-year as anticipated, results came in above management’s plan due to stronger than expected sales volume growth and accelerated benefits from the company’s "Fit to Win" cost-saving program.
As shown in the following chart of quarterly performance metrics:
The company achieved 4.4% sales volume growth in Q1 2025, reflecting what management described as a normalization of inventory across the value chain and some advanced purchases ahead of new tariffs. Both the Americas and European segments experienced approximately 4% sales volume increases.
The following chart illustrates the company’s demand trend, showing a recovery from the "global packaging recession" that had previously impacted performance:
Despite the volume growth, segment operating profit decreased from $235 million in Q1 2024 to $209 million in Q1 2025. This decline reflected regional differences, with the Americas segment improving from $102 million to $141 million, while Europe fell from $133 million to $68 million.
Fit to Win Progress
A central focus of the presentation was O-I Glass’s progress on its "Fit to Win" cost transformation initiative, which delivered $61 million in savings during Q1 2025. The company remains on track to achieve its target of at least $650 million in cumulative savings by 2027, with at least $250 million expected in 2025.
The detailed breakdown of the savings program is illustrated in the following table:
The company has completed all actions necessary to secure the 2025 benefits for reshaping SG&A, which is targeted to deliver $100 million in savings this year and $200 million by 2027. Initial network optimization efforts are underway to secure another $100 million in 2025.
Phase B of the program, which includes cost transformation and total organization effectiveness, has been initiated with a successful pilot completed in Toano, VA, and a broader rollout planned for May 2025.
Tariff Impact and Strategic Response
O-I Glass addressed the potential impact of changing global trade policies, noting that new tariffs represent both challenges and opportunities for the company. Currently, approximately 4.5% of O-I’s global sales volume is exposed to new tariffs, though management acknowledged the risk of tariff-driven consumer volatility.
The company highlighted several strategic advantages in the current trade environment:
Management emphasized that approximately 85% of sales and supply occur within 300 miles of O-I plants, creating a resilient local supply chain. The company also stands to benefit from sector-specific tariffs on aluminum (a competing packaging material) and elevated tariffs on glass imports to the US from China.
2025 Outlook
Despite the challenges, O-I Glass reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, projecting adjusted earnings per share of $1.20-$1.50, representing a 50-85% improvement from 2024’s $0.81. The company also expects to generate free cash flow of $150-$200 million in 2025, a significant improvement from the negative $128 million reported in 2024.
The following chart details the company’s 2025 guidance and quarterly earnings allocation:
Management noted that the outlook may not fully reflect the potential impact of elevated uncertainty related to changing global trade policies. Key assumptions for 2025 include an adjusted EBITDA of $1.15-$1.20 billion, a net price headwind of $125-$150 million year-over-year, and capital expenditures of $400-$450 million.
Strategic Initiatives
O-I Glass concluded its presentation by emphasizing its focus on executing controllable aspects of its business while positioning for future growth:
The company’s strategic roadmap includes three horizons: the current "Fit to Win" initiative (Horizon 1), followed by profitable growth (Horizon 2 starting in 2026), and strategic optionality (Horizon 3 beginning in 2028).
This approach represents a notable shift from the company’s position in late 2024, when it reported an adjusted net loss of $0.04 per share for Q3 and implemented an 18% production cut to manage inflated inventory levels. The Q1 2025 results suggest that O-I Glass’s recovery strategy is gaining traction, though challenges remain as the company navigates pricing pressures and an evolving global trade landscape.
Full presentation:
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