Stem Inc. shares downgraded to hold, target cut on Q2 performance

Published 07/08/2024, 14:58
Stem Inc. shares downgraded to hold, target cut on Q2 performance

On Wednesday, TD Cowen revised its outlook on shares of Stem Inc. (NYSE:STEM), shifting the stock's rating from Buy to Hold and lowering the price target significantly to $1 from the previous $4. The adjustment follows a period of project delays that have affected the company's second-quarter performance and cast uncertainty over its financial projections for the full year 2024.

The energy storage firm has faced setbacks that are not only limited to the past quarter but also threaten to impact the fiscal year 2024 outlook. According to TD Cowen, these delays could potentially extend into fiscal year 2025. The firm attributes the delays to an increase in customers seeking PACE or New ERA financing, in addition to ongoing challenges with interconnection and supply chain issues.

TD Cowen's analysis suggests that, in the near term, Stem Inc.'s shares are likely to experience limited movement until there is a significant uptick in the company's storage software revenue. The firm's stance indicates caution amid the operational challenges Stem Inc. is encountering.

The revised price target reflects a notable decrease in confidence in the stock's short-term growth potential. Stem Inc. is currently navigating through a complex market environment, where financing mechanisms and supply chain dynamics are influencing its business trajectory. The lowered price target is indicative of the perceived risks associated with these factors.

"In other recent news, Stem Inc. announced the departure of its Chief Revenue Officer, Alan Russo, amid a strategic realignment of its sales team. This decision is part of the company's efforts to enhance customer engagement and profitability. Stem Inc. has restructured its sales operations to align better with its primary business lines, indicating a shift in its sales strategy.

In addition, Stem Inc. has experienced significant changes in its financial standing, including a sharp decrease in revenue attributed to a revaluation of certain contract hardware guarantees. Despite these setbacks, the company reported exceeding expectations in its software gross margins and maintains its guidance for adjusted gross margin and adjusted EBITDA.

Furthermore, Piper Sandler, BMO Capital, and TD Cowen have reduced their stock price targets for Stem Inc., but this did not lead to a change in the firms' ratings of the company's stock. These are some of the recent developments as Stem Inc. continues to adapt its strategy in response to the evolving demands of the energy storage market."

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